Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fylde win with a probability of 46.18%. A win for Ebbsfleet had a probability of 30.25% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fylde win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Ebbsfleet win was 1-2 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fylde would win this match.
Result | ||
Fylde | Draw | Ebbsfleet |
46.18% ( 1.64) | 23.57% ( -0.24) | 30.25% ( -1.4) |
Both teams to score 60.77% ( 0.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.17% ( 0.46) | 40.83% ( -0.46) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.78% ( 0.47) | 63.22% ( -0.47) |
Fylde Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.05% ( 0.85) | 17.95% ( -0.85) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.21% ( 1.44) | 48.79% ( -1.44) |
Ebbsfleet Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.07% ( -0.65) | 25.93% ( 0.65) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.07% ( -0.88) | 60.93% ( 0.89) |
Score Analysis |
Fylde | Draw | Ebbsfleet |
2-1 @ 9.27% ( 0.14) 1-0 @ 8% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 6.87% ( 0.23) 3-1 @ 5.31% ( 0.22) 3-0 @ 3.93% ( 0.23) 3-2 @ 3.58% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 2.28% ( 0.15) 4-0 @ 1.69% ( 0.14) 4-2 @ 1.54% ( 0.08) Other @ 3.74% Total : 46.18% | 1-1 @ 10.79% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 6.25% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.66% ( -0.1) 3-3 @ 1.61% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.57% | 1-2 @ 7.28% ( -0.23) 0-1 @ 6.28% ( -0.25) 0-2 @ 4.24% ( -0.25) 1-3 @ 3.28% ( -0.17) 2-3 @ 2.81% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.15) 1-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.08) 2-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.39% Total : 30.25% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 24 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 48 | 20 | 28 | 51 |
2 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 25 | 14 | 9 | 2 | 44 | 21 | 23 | 51 |
3 | Barnet | 25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 51 | 30 | 21 | 50 |
4 | Gateshead | 25 | 14 | 5 | 6 | 49 | 32 | 17 | 47 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 23 | 12 | 8 | 3 | 41 | 23 | 18 | 44 |
6 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 41 |
7 | Rochdale | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 39 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 24 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 36 |
9 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 36 |
10 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 31 | 30 | 1 | 36 |
11 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 35 |
12 | Eastleigh | 25 | 8 | 11 | 6 | 35 | 33 | 2 | 35 |
13 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 34 | 33 | 1 | 34 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 29 | 27 | 2 | 33 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 40 | 34 | 6 | 32 |
16 | Tamworth | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 26 | 41 | -15 | 30 |
17 | Woking | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 27 | 37 | -10 | 29 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 25 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 35 | 43 | -8 | 25 |
19 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 23 |
20 | Braintree TownBraintree | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 23 | 36 | -13 | 23 |
21 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 23 |
22 | Fylde | 24 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 29 | 50 | -21 | 22 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 24 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 16 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 26 | 1 | 7 | 18 | 19 | 62 | -43 | 10 |
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