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Scunthorpe United
National League | Gameweek 22
Dec 3, 2022 at 12.30pm UK
Sands Venue Stadium
Notts County

Scunthorpe
1 - 4
Notts County

Lavery (19')
Apter (34'), Beestin (63'), Carver (65')
FT(HT: 1-3)
de Castro (23'), O'Brien (33'), Langstaff (40'), Scott (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's National League clash between Scunthorpe United and Notts County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Scunthorpe United

All competitions
Last Game: Wealdstone 3-1 Scunthorpe
Saturday, November 26 at 3pm in National League

Notts County

All competitions
Last Game: Notts County 0-0 Yeovil
Saturday, November 19 at 3pm in National League

We said: Scunthorpe United 0-3 Notts County

 Notts County have had a two-week break heading into this weekend so should be fully rested and ready to give a good performance for their travelling supporters. Scunthorpe have been forced to make a change in management in the week and that combined with an in-form Notts County side coming to town means Saturday's game is likely to end in a sixth straight defeat. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 65.69%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Scunthorpe United had a probability of 16.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.79%) and 1-3 (7.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.12%), while for a Scunthorpe United win it was 2-1 (4.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.

Result
Scunthorpe UnitedDrawNotts County
16.02% (0.062000000000001 0.06) 18.29% (0.527 0.53) 65.69% (-0.584 -0.58)
Both teams to score 60.3% (-1.993 -1.99)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.25% (-2.548 -2.55)32.75% (2.552 2.55)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.57% (-3.003 -3)54.43% (3.006 3.01)
Scunthorpe United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.51% (-1.584 -1.58)33.48% (1.588 1.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.88% (-1.772 -1.77)70.12% (1.775 1.77)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.65% (-0.815 -0.81)9.34% (0.818 0.82)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.5% (-1.972 -1.97)31.49% (1.975 1.98)
Score Analysis
    Scunthorpe United 16.02%
    Notts County 65.69%
    Draw 18.29%
Scunthorpe UnitedDrawNotts County
2-1 @ 4.44% (0.068 0.07)
1-0 @ 3.42% (0.315 0.32)
3-2 @ 1.92% (-0.131 -0.13)
2-0 @ 1.87% (0.097 0.1)
3-1 @ 1.62% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 16.02%
1-1 @ 8.12% (0.463 0.46)
2-2 @ 5.26% (-0.12 -0.12)
0-0 @ 3.13% (0.409 0.41)
3-3 @ 1.52% (-0.166 -0.17)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 18.29%
1-2 @ 9.62% (0.198 0.2)
0-2 @ 8.79% (0.547 0.55)
1-3 @ 7.6% (-0.13 -0.13)
0-1 @ 7.42% (0.721 0.72)
0-3 @ 6.95% (0.182 0.18)
1-4 @ 4.5% (-0.254 -0.25)
2-3 @ 4.16% (-0.259 -0.26)
0-4 @ 4.12% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
2-4 @ 2.46% (-0.255 -0.26)
1-5 @ 2.14% (-0.207 -0.21)
0-5 @ 1.95% (-0.099 -0.1)
2-5 @ 1.17% (-0.17 -0.17)
Other @ 4.83%
Total : 65.69%

How you voted: Scunthorpe vs Notts County

Scunthorpe United
33.3%
Draw
16.7%
Notts County
50.0%
6
Head to Head
Aug 8, 2017 7.45pm
Scunthorpe
3-3
Notts County
 Scunthorpe win 6-5 on penalties
Madden (69' pen., 105'), Holmes (86')
Goode (43'), Mantom (84'), Townsend (108')
Grant (22'), Brisley (92'), Yates (117')
Stead (45'), Yates (79')
Aug 9, 2016 7.45pm
Scunthorpe
2-0
Notts County
Van Veen (100', 115')
Mar 28, 2015 3pm
Notts County
2-2
Scunthorpe
Jones (10'), Bajner (73')
Smith (34'), Williams (77')
Robinson (1'), Canavan (86')
Madden (6'), McSheffrey (44'), Robinson (91')
Oct 25, 2014 3pm
Scunthorpe
0-1
Notts County

Madden (65'), Olejnik (88'), Osbourne (90')
Ismail (89' pen.)
Hollis (40'), Ismail (90')
Oct 7, 2014 7.45pm
Scunthorpe
1-2
Notts County
Madden (14')
Madden (76')
McLaughlin (23'), Murray (32')
Thompson (77')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1York City1610512891935
2Forest Green RoversForest Green16104229131634
3Barnet16110534201433
4Gateshead1610332819933
5Oldham AthleticOldham168622517830
6Rochdale1683525151027
7Yeovil TownYeovil167452015525
8Solihull MoorsSolihull167362325-224
9AltrinchamAltrincham166552320323
10Halifax TownHalifax166551816223
11Eastleigh166552423123
12Sutton UnitedSutton166462424022
13Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red165652617921
14Southend UnitedSouthend165652019121
15Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool165651516-121
16Tamworth166371927-821
17Aldershot TownAldershot164662125-418
18Woking164571823-517
19Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead164482026-616
20Fylde164392036-1615
21Braintree TownBraintree163491119-813
22WealdstoneWealdstone162681425-1112
23Boston UnitedBoston1624101529-1410
24Ebbsfleet1614111436-227
> National League Full Table


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