Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scunthorpe United win with a probability of 47.41%. A win for Wealdstone had a probability of 27.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Scunthorpe United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.38%) and 0-2 (8.11%). The likeliest Wealdstone win was 1-0 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Wealdstone would win this match.
Result | ||
Wealdstone | Draw | Scunthorpe United |
27.71% ( -3.13) | 24.88% ( -1.22) | 47.41% ( 4.35) |
Both teams to score 54.56% ( 2.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.77% ( 3.51) | 48.23% ( -3.51) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.62% ( 3.13) | 70.38% ( -3.13) |
Wealdstone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.54% ( -0.47) | 31.46% ( 0.47) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.15% ( -0.55) | 67.85% ( 0.55) |
Scunthorpe United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.61% ( 3.47) | 20.39% ( -3.47) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.19% ( 5.24) | 52.81% ( -5.24) |
Score Analysis |
Wealdstone | Draw | Scunthorpe United |
1-0 @ 7.42% ( -1.25) 2-1 @ 6.82% ( -0.45) 2-0 @ 4.29% ( -0.78) 3-1 @ 2.63% ( -0.21) 3-2 @ 2.09% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 1.65% ( -0.33) Other @ 2.82% Total : 27.71% | 1-1 @ 11.79% ( -0.62) 0-0 @ 6.41% ( -0.98) 2-2 @ 5.42% ( 0.21) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.14) Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.87% | 0-1 @ 10.2% ( -0.39) 1-2 @ 9.38% ( 0.48) 0-2 @ 8.11% ( 0.52) 1-3 @ 4.97% ( 0.72) 0-3 @ 4.3% ( 0.67) 2-3 @ 2.88% ( 0.39) 1-4 @ 1.98% ( 0.46) 0-4 @ 1.71% ( 0.41) 2-4 @ 1.14% ( 0.25) Other @ 2.74% Total : 47.41% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barnet | 29 | 18 | 6 | 5 | 59 | 30 | 29 | 60 |
2 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 28 | 15 | 11 | 2 | 46 | 22 | 24 | 56 |
3 | York City | 27 | 16 | 6 | 5 | 52 | 25 | 27 | 54 |
4 | Gateshead | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 51 | 36 | 15 | 49 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 26 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 43 | 29 | 14 | 45 |
6 | Rochdale | 24 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 38 | 21 | 17 | 42 |
7 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 44 | 32 | 12 | 42 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 26 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 42 |
9 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 41 |
10 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 39 | 36 | 3 | 41 |
11 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 39 |
12 | Eastleigh | 28 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 37 | 36 | 1 | 38 |
13 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 28 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 38 |
14 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 33 | 35 | -2 | 38 |
15 | Tamworth | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 34 |
16 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 40 | 36 | 4 | 32 |
17 | Woking | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 29 | 39 | -10 | 31 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 28 | 6 | 12 | 10 | 42 | 48 | -6 | 30 |
19 | Braintree TownBraintree | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 27 | 38 | -11 | 30 |
20 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 28 | 7 | 5 | 16 | 35 | 57 | -22 | 26 |
21 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 31 | 40 | -9 | 25 |
22 | Fylde | 27 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 32 | 56 | -24 | 25 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 26 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 24 | 44 | -20 | 19 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 29 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 21 | 65 | -44 | 12 |
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