Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 53.47%. A win for Scunthorpe United had a probability of 24.13% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.54%) and 0-2 (8.09%). The likeliest Scunthorpe United win was 2-1 (6.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.
Result | ||
Scunthorpe United | Draw | Wrexham |
24.13% ( -0.51) | 22.39% ( 0.06) | 53.47% ( 0.45) |
Both teams to score 59.49% ( -0.8) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.86% ( -0.79) | 40.14% ( 0.79) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.49% ( -0.82) | 62.51% ( 0.82) |
Scunthorpe United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.02% ( -0.83) | 29.98% ( 0.83) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.9% ( -1.01) | 66.09% ( 1.01) |
Wrexham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.95% ( -0.13) | 15.04% ( 0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.46% ( -0.24) | 43.54% ( 0.24) |
Score Analysis |
Scunthorpe United | Draw | Wrexham |
2-1 @ 6.2% ( -0.09) 1-0 @ 5.43% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 3.27% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 2.49% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 2.36% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 1.31% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.06% Total : 24.13% | 1-1 @ 10.29% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 5.87% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 4.51% ( 0.16) 3-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.23% Total : 22.39% | 1-2 @ 9.75% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 8.54% ( 0.27) 0-2 @ 8.09% ( 0.22) 1-3 @ 6.15% ( 0) 0-3 @ 5.11% ( 0.12) 2-3 @ 3.71% ( -0.09) 1-4 @ 2.91% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 2.42% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 1.76% ( -0.05) 1-5 @ 1.1% ( -0.01) 0-5 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.02% Total : 53.48% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 27 | 15 | 10 | 2 | 45 | 21 | 24 | 55 |
2 | York City | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 51 | 22 | 29 | 54 |
3 | Barnet | 27 | 16 | 6 | 5 | 54 | 30 | 24 | 54 |
4 | Gateshead | 27 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 50 | 35 | 15 | 48 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 42 | 28 | 14 | 44 |
6 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 43 | 31 | 12 | 41 |
7 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 45 | 38 | 7 | 41 |
8 | Rochdale | 23 | 12 | 3 | 8 | 34 | 21 | 13 | 39 |
9 | Halifax TownHalifax | 25 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 29 | 24 | 5 | 39 |
10 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 38 | 36 | 2 | 38 |
11 | Eastleigh | 27 | 9 | 11 | 7 | 37 | 35 | 2 | 38 |
12 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 38 |
13 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 32 | 31 | 1 | 37 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 33 |
15 | Tamworth | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 33 |
16 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 40 | 34 | 6 | 32 |
17 | Woking | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 28 | 38 | -10 | 30 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 27 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 40 | 46 | -6 | 29 |
19 | Braintree TownBraintree | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 26 | 38 | -12 | 27 |
20 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 35 | 54 | -19 | 26 |
21 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 25 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 25 |
22 | Fylde | 25 | 6 | 4 | 15 | 30 | 54 | -24 | 22 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 25 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 21 | 43 | -22 | 16 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 28 | 1 | 9 | 18 | 21 | 64 | -43 | 12 |
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