Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 50.51%. A win for Wealdstone had a probability of 25.63% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.63%) and 0-2 (8.36%). The likeliest Wealdstone win was 1-0 (6.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-7 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hartlepool United would win this match.