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National League | Gameweek 23
Feb 13, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Lner Community Stadium

York City
0 - 1
Dorking


Amos (52')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Blair (85')
Craig (37'), Carter (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's National League clash between York City and Dorking Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Southend 0-1 York City
Saturday, February 10 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Dorking 1-3 Halifax
Saturday, February 10 at 3pm in National League

We said: York City 2-1 Dorking Wanderers

With just two points separating the two sides in the National League table, we expect Tuesday's encounter to be a close-fought contest. While fine margins should decide the fixture, we think that York will do enough to claim all three points against a Dorking side that has lost five of their last six matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 46.41%. A win for Dorking Wanderers had a probability of 28.6% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Dorking Wanderers win was 0-1 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result
York CityDrawDorking Wanderers
46.41% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09) 24.99% (0.018000000000001 0.02) 28.6% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
Both teams to score 54.82% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.82% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)48.18% (0.032999999999994 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.66% (-0.029999999999998 -0.03)70.34% (0.031000000000006 0.03)
York City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.2% (-0.054999999999993 -0.05)20.8% (0.056000000000001 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.54% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)53.46% (0.086000000000006 0.09)
Dorking Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.22% (0.040999999999997 0.04)30.78% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.95% (0.046999999999997 0.05)67.05% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    York City 46.4%
    Dorking Wanderers 28.6%
    Draw 24.99%
York CityDrawDorking Wanderers
1-0 @ 10.05%
2-1 @ 9.3% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.89% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.87% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.13% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.87% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.91% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.62% (-0.0079999999999998 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.13% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 46.4%
1-1 @ 11.84% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.4% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.48% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.13% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.99%
0-1 @ 7.54% (0.018 0.02)
1-2 @ 6.98% (0.013 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.45% (0.016 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.74% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.15% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.75% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 28.6%

Head to Head
Aug 26, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 5
Dorking
2-2
York City
McShane (17'), Prior (85')
McShane (28')
Kouhyar (58'), Akinyemi (72')
Batty (12')
John-Lewis (90+6')
Mar 18, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 39
York City
2-1
Dorking
Duku (7'), Fallowfield (56')
Gallagher (86')
Nov 26, 2022 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Forest Green RoversForest Green271510245212455
2York City26166451222954
3Barnet27166554302454
4Gateshead27146750351548
5Oldham AthleticOldham25128542281444
6AltrinchamAltrincham26118743311241
7Solihull MoorsSolihull27125104538741
8Rochdale23123834211339
9Halifax TownHalifax2510962924539
10Sutton UnitedSutton2710893836238
11Eastleigh2791173735238
12Yeovil TownYeovil28108103331238
13Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool2691073231137
14Southend UnitedSouthend268992930-133
15Tamworth2596102941-1233
16Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red258894034632
17Woking2779112838-1030
18Aldershot TownAldershot27611104046-629
19Braintree TownBraintree2776142638-1227
20Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead2775153554-1926
21WealdstoneWealdstone25510103138-725
22Fylde2564153054-2422
23Boston UnitedBoston2537152143-2216
24Ebbsfleet2819182164-4312


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