MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 23:36:17| >> :300:86500:86500:
NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 11
Oct 15, 2022 at 3pm UK
Belfast Loughshore Hotel Arena

Carrick
3 - 0
Dungannon

Allen (24', 54'), Mitchell (77')
Allen (64')
FT(HT: 1-0)

McGinty (34'), Mayse (44'), (86'), (86')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Carrick Rangers and Dungannon Swifts.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Glentoran 5-0 Carrick
Friday, October 7 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Glenavon 5-0 Dungannon
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carrick Rangers win with a probability of 43.42%. A win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 32.15% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carrick Rangers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.51%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Dungannon Swifts win was 1-2 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Carrick Rangers would win this match.

Result
Carrick RangersDrawDungannon Swifts
43.42% (-6.589 -6.59) 24.42% (0.608 0.61) 32.15% (5.979 5.98)
Both teams to score 58.71% (1.93 1.93)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.04% (0.752 0.75)43.95% (-0.753 -0.75)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.66% (0.729 0.73)66.34% (-0.73 -0.73)
Carrick Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.63% (-2.42 -2.42)20.37% (2.419 2.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.22% (-4 -4)52.78% (3.998 4)
Dungannon Swifts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.73% (4.526 4.53)26.27% (-4.528 -4.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.62% (5.684 5.68)61.38% (-5.684 -5.68)
Score Analysis
    Carrick Rangers 43.42%
    Dungannon Swifts 32.15%
    Draw 24.42%
Carrick RangersDrawDungannon Swifts
2-1 @ 9.05% (-0.549 -0.55)
1-0 @ 8.51% (-0.981 -0.98)
2-0 @ 6.77% (-1.381 -1.38)
3-1 @ 4.8% (-0.696 -0.7)
3-0 @ 3.59% (-1.076 -1.08)
3-2 @ 3.21% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.91% (-0.451 -0.45)
4-0 @ 1.43% (-0.575 -0.58)
4-2 @ 1.28% (-0.113 -0.11)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 43.42%
1-1 @ 11.38% (0.2 0.2)
2-2 @ 6.05% (0.396 0.4)
0-0 @ 5.35% (-0.178 -0.18)
3-3 @ 1.43% (0.16 0.16)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.42%
1-2 @ 7.61% (1.022 1.02)
0-1 @ 7.15% (0.642 0.64)
0-2 @ 4.78% (0.947 0.95)
1-3 @ 3.39% (0.804 0.8)
2-3 @ 2.7% (0.477 0.48)
0-3 @ 2.13% (0.626 0.63)
1-4 @ 1.13% (0.372 0.37)
2-4 @ 0.9% (0.247 0.25)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 32.15%

Head to Head
Apr 9, 2022 3pm
Carrick
1-0
Dungannon
Cushley (13')
McGuckin (45+5'), McMullan (74')

Devlin (58'), Shiels (89')
Dunne (79')
Jan 29, 2022 3pm
Dungannon
3-2
Carrick
Campbell (36', 71'), McBrien (82')
Breen (45+1'), McGee (62')
Cherry (38'), Gibson (76')
Carson (26'), Cherry (54'), Ervin (73')
Dec 4, 2021 3pm
Carrick
1-2
Dungannon
Cushley (85' pen.)
Cushley (9'), Anderson (19'), Surgenor (89'), Ervin (90')
McGinty (21'), McBrien (49')
Glynn (81'), Coyle (90')
Oct 22, 2021 7.45pm
Dungannon
2-0
Carrick
Mayse (14', 89')
(24'), McGinty (24'), Campbell (39')

Ervin (26'), Gawne (64'), Forsythe (90+3')
Apr 30, 2021 7.30pm
Dungannon
0-2
Carrick
Gawne (23'), Anderson (45')
D (57')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1LinfieldLinfield1492330141629
2CliftonvilleCliftonville147341814424
3Ballymena UnitedBallymena158072018224
4Dungannon SwiftsDungannon157262017323
5ColeraineColeraine156452320322
6PortadownPortadown146352016421
7GlentoranGlentoran156361514121
8CrusadersCrusaders136251513220
9LarneLarne11533139418
10GlenavonGlenavon153661119-815
11Carrick RangersCarrick143291427-1311
12Loughgall1532101735-1811


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