MX23RW : Monday, December 23 11:04:30| >> :300:86500:86500:
NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 24
Dec 30, 2023 at 3pm UK
Seaview

Crusaders
2 - 0
Carrick

Heatley (49'), Owens (65')
Clarke (45')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Forsythe (42'), Mitchell (62')
Forsythe (60')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Crusaders and Carrick Rangers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cliftonville 2-1 Crusaders
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Carrick 1-2 Larne
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 55.48%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 21.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 2-0 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.06%), while for a Carrick Rangers win it was 0-1 (6.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crusaders would win this match.

Result
CrusadersDrawCarrick Rangers
55.48% (-0.204 -0.2) 23.3% (0.125 0.13) 21.22% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
Both teams to score 52.61% (-0.273 -0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.54% (-0.42400000000001 -0.42)47.46% (0.428 0.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.33% (-0.394 -0.39)69.68% (0.399 0.4)
Crusaders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.05% (-0.223 -0.22)16.95% (0.226 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.96% (-0.403 -0.4)47.04% (0.407 0.41)
Carrick Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.35% (-0.157 -0.16)36.66% (0.163 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.56% (-0.159 -0.16)73.45% (0.164 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Crusaders 55.47%
    Carrick Rangers 21.22%
    Draw 23.29%
CrusadersDrawCarrick Rangers
1-0 @ 11.02% (0.11 0.11)
2-1 @ 9.82% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-0 @ 9.79% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
3-1 @ 5.81% (-0.054 -0.05)
3-0 @ 5.79% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.92% (-0.041 -0.04)
4-1 @ 2.58% (-0.044 -0.04)
4-0 @ 2.57% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.29% (-0.027 -0.03)
5-1 @ 0.92% (-0.023 -0.02)
5-0 @ 0.91% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 55.47%
1-1 @ 11.06% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 6.21% (0.11 0.11)
2-2 @ 4.93% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-3 @ 0.98% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 23.29%
0-1 @ 6.24% (0.084 0.08)
1-2 @ 5.55% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.13% (0.028 0.03)
1-3 @ 1.86% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 1.65% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.05% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 21.22%

Head to Head
Dec 8, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
Carrick
0-1
Crusaders

McGuckin (76'), Macuilaitis (81'), Glendinning (89')
Lowry (45')
Robinson (58'), Heatley (87'), Joe Burns (89'), Larmour (90')
Aug 22, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 1
Crusaders
9-0
Carrick
Heatley (11'), Kennedy (21', 25' pen., 28', 40'), Lowry (47'), Joe Burns (54'), Callacher (63'), Teelan (79')
Clarke (74')

Crowe (68'), Andrews (86')
Cherry (24')
Mar 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 33
Crusaders
3-0
Carrick
Clarke (66'), Owens (80'), Caddell (87')
Jan 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 22
Carrick
0-3
Crusaders
Heatley (10'), Forsythe (43', 50')
Oct 1, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 9
Carrick
4-3
Crusaders
Allen (5', 55'), Cushley (15'), McGuckin (65')
Heatley (27'), Clarke (45+2'), Lowry (57')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1LinfieldLinfield21152440162447
2PortadownPortadown2010462819934
3GlentoranGlentoran2110472620634
4Dungannon SwiftsDungannon2110382724333
5CliftonvilleCliftonville209472821731
6Ballymena UnitedBallymena20100102525030
7CrusadersCrusaders208392427-327
8ColeraineColeraine207583230226
9LarneLarne146441612422
10Carrick RangersCarrick1954102030-1019
11GlenavonGlenavon2147101730-1319
12Loughgall2134142251-2913


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