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Premier League
Aston Villa logo
Premier League | Gameweek 19
Dec 26, 2021 at 5.30pm UK
Villa Park
Chelsea logo

Aston Villa
1 - 3
Chelsea

James (28' og.)
Martinez (33'), Mings (65'), Konsa (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Jorginho (34' pen., 90+3' pen.), Lukaku (56')
Alonso (70')

The Match

Team News

Callum Hudson-Odoi returns to the Chelsea starting lineup for the Boxing Day clash with Aston Villa.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Aston Villa and Chelsea, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Chelsea could line up for the Premier League fixture against Aston Villa on Boxing Day.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up all of Chelsea's latest injury and suspension news ahead of the Premier League fixture with Aston Villa on Boxing Day.

We said: Aston Villa 1-1 Chelsea

 With so many uncertainties over squad selection, this is a difficult match to call. Nevertheless, we cannot ignore Villa's improvement under Gerrard and Chelsea's potential tiredness, leading to us predicting a low-scoring draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 68.99%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Aston Villa had a probability of 11.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.29%) and 1-2 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.07%), while for an Aston Villa win it was 1-0 (4.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.

Result
Aston VillaDrawChelsea
11.92%19.1%68.99%
Both teams to score 45.79%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.97%46.04%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.66%68.34%
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.17%47.83%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.9%83.11%
Chelsea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.77%12.24%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.06%37.94%
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa 11.92%
    Chelsea 68.98%
    Draw 19.1%
Aston VillaDrawChelsea
1-0 @ 4.32%
2-1 @ 3.34%
2-0 @ 1.59%
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 11.92%
1-1 @ 9.07%
0-0 @ 5.85%
2-2 @ 3.51%
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 19.1%
0-2 @ 12.91%
0-1 @ 12.29%
1-2 @ 9.53%
0-3 @ 9.05%
1-3 @ 6.67%
0-4 @ 4.75%
1-4 @ 3.5%
2-3 @ 2.46%
0-5 @ 2%
1-5 @ 1.47%
2-4 @ 1.29%
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 68.98%

How you voted: Aston Villa vs Chelsea

Aston Villa
34.7%
Draw
14.7%
Chelsea
50.7%
75
Head to Head
Sep 22, 2021 7.45pm
Third Round
Chelsea
1-1
Aston Villa
 Chelsea win 4-3 on penalties
Werner (54')
Sarr (31'), James (90+2')
Archer (64')
Young (86')
> Match Report
Sep 11, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 4
Chelsea
3-0
Aston Villa
Lukaku (15', 90+3'), Kovacic (49')
Alonso (61')

Ramsey (8'), Mings (28'), McGinn (90'), Targett (90')
> Match Report
May 23, 2021 4pm
Gameweek 38
Aston Villa
2-1
Chelsea
Traore (43'), El Ghazi (52' pen.)
McGinn (65'), Nakamba (74'), Martinez (81')
Chilwell (70')
Jorginho (45'), Werner (45+2'), Kovacic (49'), Arrizabalaga (90+5')
Azpilicueta (89')
> Match Report
Dec 28, 2020 5.30pm
Gameweek 16
Chelsea
1-1
Aston Villa
Giroud (34')
Azpilicueta (45+2'), Giroud (71'), Kante (74')
El Ghazi (50')
El Ghazi (71')
> Match Report
Jun 21, 2020 4.15pm
Gameweek 30
Aston Villa
1-2
Chelsea
> Match Report
Build-up
Chelsea's Hakim Ziyech pictured in November 2021
Chelsea boss Thomas Tuchel speaks on Hakim Ziyech, Andreas Christensen injuries
Head coach Thomas Tuchel hints that Chelsea duo Hakim Ziyech and Andreas Christensen remain big injury doubts for the Boxing Day fixture at Aston Villa.
Dec 26, 10:27
 N'Golo Kante warms up for Chelsea on November 23, 2021
Chelsea boss Thomas Tuchel: 'N'Golo Kante didn't want to rest this week'
Chelsea head coach Thomas Tuchel says that N'Golo Kante "convinced" him to let him play against Brentford in the EFL Cup quarter-finals earlier this week.
Dec 26, 10:16
 Aston Villa's Jacob Ramsey celebrates scoring their first goal with Ashley Young on December 14, 2021
Aston Villa looking to end 17-year streak versus Chelsea
Aston Villa will attempt to end a 17-year streak when they play host to Chelsea in the Premier League on Boxing Day.
Dec 25, 19:32
 Rangers manager Steven Gerrard pictured on November 4, 2021
Aston Villa manager Steven Gerrard tests positive for coronavirus
Aston Villa announce that manager Steven Gerrard has tested positive coronavirus and will miss the club's next two fixtures.
Dec 25, 18:32
 N'Golo Kante warms up for Chelsea on November 23, 2021
How Chelsea could line up against Aston Villa
Sports Mole looks at how Chelsea could line up for the Premier League fixture against Aston Villa on Boxing Day.
Dec 23, 14:15
 Chelsea's Andreas Christensen in action, October 20, 2021
Chelsea team news: Injury, suspension list vs. Aston Villa
Sports Mole rounds up all of Chelsea's latest injury and suspension news ahead of the Premier League fixture with Aston Villa on Boxing Day.
Dec 23, 10:30
 Chelsea's Romelu Lukaku on August 28, 2021
Chelsea duo Hudson-Odoi, Lukaku 'record negative coronavirus tests'
Head coach Thomas Tuchel suggests that Callum Hudson-Odoi and Romelu Lukaku could feature against Aston Villa on Boxing Day after registering negative coronavirus tests.
Dec 22, 23:52
 Aston Villa manager Steven Gerrard reacts on December 14, 2021
Steven Gerrard: 'Aston Villa may need to use fringe players against Chelsea'
Manager Steven Gerrard admits that he may have to use some of Aston Villa's fringe and academy players for the Premier League fixture with Chelsea.
Dec 22, 12:02
 Aston Villa midfielder Marvelous Nakamba playing against Chelsea on September 11, 2021.
Aston Villa vs. Chelsea likely to be postponed amid growing coronavirus cases
Chelsea's December 26 trip to face Aston Villa in the Premier League is in jeopardy amid growing coronavirus cases in both squads.
Dec 18, 16:03
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool108111961325
2Manchester CityMan City1072121111023
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest10541147719
4Chelsea105322012818
5Arsenal105321711618
6Aston Villa105321715218
7Tottenham HotspurSpurs1051422111116
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton104421714316
9Fulham104331413115
10Bournemouth104331312115
11Newcastle UnitedNewcastle104331010015
12Brentford104151920-113
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd10334912-312
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham103251319-611
15Leicester CityLeicester102441418-410
16Everton102351017-79
17Crystal Palace10145813-57
18Ipswich TownIpswich100551021-115
19Southampton10118719-124
20Wolverhampton WanderersWolves100371427-133
> Premier League Full Table


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