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Premier League | Gameweek 7
Nov 1, 2020 at 12pm UK
Villa Park
Southampton logo

Aston Villa
3 - 4
Southampton

Mings (62'), Watkins (90+3' pen.), Grealish (90+7')
Cash (43')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Vestergaard (20'), Ward-Prowse (33', 45'), Ings (58')
Ward-Prowse (12'), Diallo (90+2')

The Match

Match Report

The Saints move up to third place with their 4-3 win.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Aston Villa and Southampton, including predictions and team news.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 42.22%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 32.07% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.87%) and 0-2 (7.19%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 1-0 (8.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southampton would win this match.

Result
Aston VillaDrawSouthampton
32.07%25.71%42.22%
Both teams to score 54.3%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.32%49.68%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.3%71.7%
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.87%29.13%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.94%65.06%
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.62%23.38%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.65%57.35%
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa 32.07%
    Southampton 42.22%
    Draw 25.7%
Aston VillaDrawSouthampton
1-0 @ 8.4%
2-1 @ 7.53%
2-0 @ 5.18%
3-1 @ 3.1%
3-2 @ 2.25%
3-0 @ 2.13%
4-1 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 32.07%
1-1 @ 12.2%
0-0 @ 6.81%
2-2 @ 5.47%
3-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.7%
0-1 @ 9.9%
1-2 @ 8.87%
0-2 @ 7.19%
1-3 @ 4.3%
0-3 @ 3.49%
2-3 @ 2.65%
1-4 @ 1.56%
0-4 @ 1.27%
2-4 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 42.22%

Head to Head
Feb 22, 2020 3pm
Dec 21, 2019 3pm
Oct 28, 2015 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool108111961325
2Manchester CityMan City1072121111023
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest10541147719
4Chelsea105322012818
5Arsenal105321711618
6Aston Villa105321715218
7Tottenham HotspurSpurs1051422111116
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton104421714316
9Bournemouth104331312115
10Newcastle UnitedNewcastle104331010015
11Brentford94141818013
12Fulham93331212012
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd10334912-312
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham103251319-611
15Leicester CityLeicester102441418-410
16Everton102351017-79
17Crystal Palace10145813-57
18Ipswich TownIpswich100551021-115
19Southampton10118719-124
20Wolverhampton WanderersWolves100371427-133


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