Premier League | Gameweek 26
Feb 19, 2022 at 3pm UK
Villa Park
Aston Villa0 - 1Watford
We said: Aston Villa 2-1 Watford
Aston Villa's leaky backline should provide Watford with a decent chance of ending their four-game drought without a goal. However, the hosts will head into Saturday's fixture as the favourites and they should have enough quality in their side to claim all three points. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 43.05%. A win for Watford had a probability of 30.58% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Watford win was 0-1 (8.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Aston Villa | Draw | Watford |
| 43.05% | 26.37% | 30.58% |
| Both teams to score 51.57% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
