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Premier League | Gameweek 11
Nov 6, 2021 at 5.30pm UK
Falmer Stadium
Newcastle logo

Brighton
1 - 1
Newcastle

Trossard (24' pen.)
Lallana (75'), Bissouma (84'), Maupay (84')
Sanchez (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Hayden (66')
Lascelles (12'), Murphy (60'), Shelvey (69'), Wilson (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Brighton & Hove Albion and Newcastle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 49.78%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Newcastle United had a probability of 23.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.15%) and 2-1 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.51%), while for a Newcastle United win it was 0-1 (8.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.

Result
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawNewcastle United
49.78%27.04%23.18%
Both teams to score 44.29%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.35%59.64%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.03%79.97%
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.88%24.12%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.57%58.43%
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.37%41.62%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.89%78.11%
Score Analysis
    Brighton & Hove Albion 49.77%
    Newcastle United 23.18%
    Draw 27.03%
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawNewcastle United
1-0 @ 14.27%
2-0 @ 10.15%
2-1 @ 8.9%
3-0 @ 4.81%
3-1 @ 4.22%
3-2 @ 1.85%
4-0 @ 1.71%
4-1 @ 1.5%
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 49.77%
1-1 @ 12.51%
0-0 @ 10.04%
2-2 @ 3.9%
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 27.03%
0-1 @ 8.8%
1-2 @ 5.48%
0-2 @ 3.86%
1-3 @ 1.6%
2-3 @ 1.14%
0-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 1.17%
Total : 23.18%

How you voted: Brighton vs Newcastle

Brighton & Hove Albion
76.9%
Draw
13.8%
Newcastle United
9.2%
195
Head to Head
Mar 20, 2021 8pm
Sep 20, 2020 2pm
Gameweek 2
Newcastle
0-3
Brighton

Shelvey (12'), Lewis (25'), Lascelles (34')
Maupay (4' pen., 7'), Connolly (83')
Bissouma (89')
Jul 20, 2020 6pm
Gameweek 37
Brighton
0-0
Newcastle
Bissouma (23'), Gross (26'), Stephens (46'), Webster (87')
Ritchie (31'), Rose (63')
Sep 21, 2019 5.30pm
Apr 27, 2019 5.30pm
Gameweek 36
Brighton
1-1
Newcastle
Gross (75')
Andone (11'), Bissouma (78')
Perez (18')
Dummett (25'), Ritchie (45'), Muto (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Buccaneers
@
Chiefs
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool108111961325
2Manchester CityMan City1072121111023
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest10541147719
4Chelsea105322012818
5Arsenal105321711618
6Aston Villa105321715218
7Tottenham HotspurSpurs1051422111116
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton104421714316
9Fulham104331413115
10Bournemouth104331312115
11Newcastle UnitedNewcastle104331010015
12Brentford104151920-113
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd10334912-312
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham103251319-611
15Leicester CityLeicester102441418-410
16Everton102351017-79
17Crystal Palace10145813-57
18Ipswich TownIpswich100551021-115
19Southampton10118719-124
20Wolverhampton WanderersWolves100371427-133


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