Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham win with a probability of 38.33%. A win for Leicester City had a probability of 36.72% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fulham win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.26%) and 2-0 (5.99%). The likeliest Leicester City win was 1-2 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fulham would win this match.
Result | ||
Fulham | Draw | Leicester City |
38.33% ( 0.02) | 24.94% | 36.72% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 57.96% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.6% ( -0.01) | 45.4% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.26% ( -0.01) | 67.73% ( 0) |
Fulham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.56% ( 0.01) | 23.44% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.55% ( 0.01) | 57.44% ( -0.02) |
Leicester City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.7% ( -0.02) | 24.3% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.32% ( -0.02) | 58.67% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Fulham | Draw | Leicester City |
2-1 @ 8.48% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.26% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.99% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.1% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.9% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.9% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.49% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.05% 4-0 @ 1.05% ( 0) Other @ 2.11% Total : 38.33% | 1-1 @ 11.68% 2-2 @ 6% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.7% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.37% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.93% | 1-2 @ 8.27% ( -0) 0-1 @ 8.06% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.7% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.9% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.83% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.69% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.38% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1% ( -0) 0-4 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 1.95% Total : 36.72% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 20 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 48 | 20 | 28 | 47 |
2 | Arsenal | 21 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 41 | 19 | 22 | 43 |
3 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 21 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 41 |
4 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 21 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 37 | 22 | 15 | 38 |
5 | Chelsea | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 41 | 26 | 15 | 37 |
6 | Manchester CityMan City | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 38 | 29 | 9 | 35 |
7 | Aston Villa | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 31 | 32 | -1 | 35 |
8 | Bournemouth | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 32 | 25 | 7 | 34 |
9 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 21 | 7 | 10 | 4 | 32 | 29 | 3 | 31 |
10 | Fulham | 21 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 30 |
11 | Brentford | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 40 | 37 | 3 | 28 |
12 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 26 | 29 | -3 | 26 |
13 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 27 | 41 | -14 | 26 |
14 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 21 | 7 | 3 | 11 | 43 | 32 | 11 | 24 |
15 | Crystal Palace | 21 | 5 | 9 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 24 |
16 | Everton | 20 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 17 |
17 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 21 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 31 | 48 | -17 | 16 |
18 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 20 | 37 | -17 | 16 |
19 | Leicester CityLeicester | 21 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 23 | 46 | -23 | 14 |
20 | Southampton | 21 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 13 | 47 | -34 | 6 |
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