Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 77.68%. A draw had a probability of 13.8% and a win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 8.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.81%) and 2-1 (8.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.38%), while for a Brighton & Hove Albion win it was 1-2 (2.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.