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Premier League | Gameweek 27
Mar 12, 2023 at 4.30pm UK
St James' Park
Wolves logo

Newcastle
2 - 1
Wolves

Isak (26'), Almiron (79')
Isak (68')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Hee-chan (70')
Podence (44'), Semedo (58')

The Match

Match Report

Newcastle United move into fifth position in the Premier League table courtesy of a 2-1 win over Wolverhampton Wanderers at St James' Park.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Newcastle United and Wolverhampton Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wolves 1-0 Spurs
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 58%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Wolverhampton Wanderers had a probability of 18.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.5%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.24%), while for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win it was 0-1 (6.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.

Result
Newcastle UnitedDrawWolverhampton Wanderers
58% (-0.178 -0.18) 23.86% (0.097999999999999 0.1) 18.13% (0.077999999999999 0.08)
Both teams to score 46.1% (-0.146 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.36% (-0.268 -0.27)53.63% (0.266 0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.87% (-0.224 -0.22)75.13% (0.224 0.22)
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.71% (-0.166 -0.17)18.29% (0.165 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.64% (-0.281 -0.28)49.36% (0.279 0.28)
Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.41% (-0.064 -0.06)43.58% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.22% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)79.78% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Newcastle United 57.99%
    Wolverhampton Wanderers 18.13%
    Draw 23.86%
Newcastle UnitedDrawWolverhampton Wanderers
1-0 @ 13.54% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
2-0 @ 11.5%
2-1 @ 9.55% (-0.017999999999999 -0.02)
3-0 @ 6.51% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-1 @ 5.41% (-0.039 -0.04)
4-0 @ 2.77% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.3% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.25% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-2 @ 0.95% (-0.014 -0.01)
5-0 @ 0.94% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 57.99%
1-1 @ 11.24% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 7.97% (0.083 0.08)
2-2 @ 3.97% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 23.86%
0-1 @ 6.62% (0.058 0.06)
1-2 @ 4.67% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.75% (0.019 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.29%
2-3 @ 1.1% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 18.13%

How you voted: Newcastle vs Wolves

Newcastle United
66.1%
Draw
21.1%
Wolverhampton Wanderers
12.8%
180
Head to Head
Aug 28, 2022 2pm
Apr 8, 2022 8pm
Newcastle
1-0
Wolves
Wood (72' pen.)
Schar (56')

Moutinho (87')
Oct 2, 2021 3pm
Wolves
2-1
Newcastle
Hee-chan (20', 58')
Lage (44')
Hendrick (41')
Clark (56'), Manquillo (60')
Feb 27, 2021 8pm
Oct 25, 2020 4.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool29217169274270
2Arsenal281510352242855
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest28156745331251
4Chelsea28147753361749
5Manchester CityMan City28145953381547
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton28121064640646
7Aston Villa2912984145-445
8Bournemouth28128847341344
9Newcastle UnitedNewcastle2713594638844
10Fulham2811984138342
11Crystal Palace2810993633339
12Brentford28115124844438
13Tottenham HotspurSpurs281041455411434
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd2897123440-634
15Everton2871293135-433
16West Ham UnitedWest Ham2796123247-1533
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2865173857-1923
18Ipswich TownIpswich2838172658-3217
19Leicester CityLeicester2845192562-3717
20Southampton2823232068-489


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