Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 44.08%. A win for Boavista had a probability of 30.85% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Boavista win was 0-1 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arouca would win this match.
Result | ||
Arouca | Draw | Boavista |
44.08% (![]() | 25.08% (![]() | 30.85% (![]() |
Both teams to score 55.86% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.58% (![]() | 47.42% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.37% (![]() | 69.63% (![]() |
Arouca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.48% (![]() | 21.52% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.42% (![]() | 54.58% (![]() |
Boavista Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.18% (![]() | 28.82% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.33% (![]() | 64.67% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Arouca | Draw | Boavista |
1-0 @ 9.53% (![]() 2-1 @ 9.1% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 7.32% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.66% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.75% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.9% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.79% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.44% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.11% ( ![]() Other @ 2.48% Total : 44.08% | 1-1 @ 11.85% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.2% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.66% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.2% ( ![]() Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.08% | 0-1 @ 7.72% (![]() 1-2 @ 7.37% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.8% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.06% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.35% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.99% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 0.95% ( ![]() Other @ 2.6% Total : 30.85% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | AroucaArouca | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | AVS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Benfica | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | BoavistaBoavista | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Casa Pia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | Estrela Amadora | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | SC FarenseFarense | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Nacional | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | Porto | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | Rio AveRio Ave | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | Braga | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
17 | Sporting Lisbon | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
18 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |