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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Chaves
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Portimonense
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vizela
Arouca
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 29
Apr 14, 2024 at 6pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Arouca
Boavista

Arouca
2 - 1
Boavista

Mujica (30'), Weverson (39')
Simao (34'), Weverson (52'), Montero (82')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Bambu (47')
Perez (34'), Agra (79'), Abascal (90')
Couto (35'), Perez (43')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Arouca and Boavista, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Braga 0-3 Arouca
Saturday, April 6 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Farense 2-0 Boavista
Friday, April 5 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Arouca 2-0 Boavista

While Boavista will be looking to find their feet this weekend, they take on a spirited Arouca side who have been rock-solid at home in recent weeks. We predict that the Arouquenses will pick up where they left off against Braga and come away with another comfortable victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 44.08%. A win for Boavista had a probability of 30.85% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Boavista win was 0-1 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arouca would win this match.

Result
AroucaDrawBoavista
44.08% (0.525 0.52) 25.08% (0.045999999999999 0.05) 30.85% (-0.57 -0.57)
Both teams to score 55.86% (-0.425 -0.43)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.58% (-0.435 -0.43)47.42% (0.438 0.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.37% (-0.405 -0.41)69.63% (0.40599999999999 0.41)
Arouca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.48% (0.058999999999997 0.06)21.52% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.42% (0.088999999999999 0.09)54.58% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
Boavista Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.18% (-0.595 -0.59)28.82% (0.597 0.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.33% (-0.747 -0.75)64.67% (0.749 0.75)
Score Analysis
    Arouca 44.08%
    Boavista 30.85%
    Draw 25.08%
AroucaDrawBoavista
1-0 @ 9.53% (0.189 0.19)
2-1 @ 9.1% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
2-0 @ 7.32% (0.157 0.16)
3-1 @ 4.66% (0.031 0.03)
3-0 @ 3.75% (0.086 0.09)
3-2 @ 2.9% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.79% (0.015 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.44% (0.036 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.11% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 44.08%
1-1 @ 11.85% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 6.2% (0.112 0.11)
2-2 @ 5.66% (-0.066000000000001 -0.07)
3-3 @ 1.2% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.08%
0-1 @ 7.72% (0.012 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.37% (-0.099 -0.1)
0-2 @ 4.8% (-0.073 -0.07)
1-3 @ 3.06% (-0.093 -0.09)
2-3 @ 2.35% (-0.067 -0.07)
0-3 @ 1.99% (-0.064 -0.06)
1-4 @ 0.95% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 30.85%

How you voted: Arouca vs Boavista

Arouca
80.0%
Draw
20.0%
Boavista
0.0%
5
Head to Head
Dec 3, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 12
Boavista
0-4
Arouca

Onyemaechi (1'), Perez (45+1'), Morais (67'), Berna (81'), Ferreira (82')
Morais (90+4')
Cristo (2', 23'), Mujica (39'), Jason (72')
Milovanov (42'), Sylla (55'), Trezza (70')
Milovanov (49')
Nov 26, 2023 8pm
Fourth Round
Arouca
2-2
Boavista
Arouca win 4-3 on penalties
Cristo (39'), Santos (105+5' pen.)
Kouassi (38'), Milovanov (58'), Trezza (95'), Santos (110')
Bozenik (62'), Lourenco (106')
Onyemaechi (18'), Morais (37'), Awaziem (46'), Lourenco (49'), Bozenik (78'), Berna (105+2'), Vukotic (120')
Mar 3, 2023 7pm
Sep 11, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 6
Arouca
1-2
Boavista
Mujica (27')
Sasso (31'), Tavares (70')
Apr 9, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 29
Boavista
1-0
Arouca
Gorre (12')
Nathan (61'), Njie (74'), Perez (90'), Morais (90+7')

Dabbagh (63'), Galovic (84'), Ruiz (90+3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CSporting Lisbon34293296296790
2Benfica34255477284980
3Porto34226663273672
4Braga34215871502168
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes34196952381463
6MoreirenseMoreirense34167113635155
7AroucaArouca34137145450446
8FamalicaoFamalicao341012123741-442
9Casa Pia34108163850-1238
10SC FarenseFarense34107174651-537
11Rio AveRio Ave3461993843-537
12Gil Vicente3499164252-1036
13Estoril PraiaEstoril3496194958-933
14Estrela Amadora34712153353-2033
15BoavistaBoavista34711163962-2332
16PortimonensePortimonense3488183972-3332
RVizela34511183666-3026
RChavesChaves3458213172-4123


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