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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Benfica
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 3
Aug 30, 2022 at 8.15pm UK
Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
Pacos de Ferreira logo

Benfica
3 - 2
Pacos de Ferreira

Neres (42'), Mario (45+4' pen.), Ramos (56')
Silva (16'), Fernandez (84')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Philippe Koffi (39', 80')
Holsgrove (14'), Flavio (35'), Oliveira (45+2'), Ibrahim (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Primeira Liga clash between Benfica and Pacos de Ferreira, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Boavista 0-3 Benfica
Saturday, August 27 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Benfica 2-0 Pacos de Ferreira

Benfica will be licking their lips as their next task pits them against a floundering Pacos de Ferreira side who have stumbled into the new season. Looking at recent results between the sides and the gulf in morale and quality in both squads, we are tipping Benfica to come away with a comfortable victory in front of their home fans. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 81.96%. A draw had a probability of 12.7% and a win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 5.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.87%) and 1-0 (11.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.96%), while for a Pacos de Ferreira win it was 0-1 (2.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.

Result
BenficaDrawPacos de Ferreira
81.96% (0.066000000000003 0.07) 12.69% (-0.042 -0.04) 5.35% (-0.019 -0.02)
Both teams to score 37.93% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.7% (0.10700000000001 0.11)39.29% (-0.102 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.37% (0.111 0.11)61.63% (-0.107 -0.11)
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.66% (0.040000000000006 0.04)7.34% (-0.035 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
73.48% (0.094999999999999 0.09)26.51% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)
Pacos de Ferreira Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
40.94% (0.0020000000000024 0)59.06% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
9.84% (0.0020000000000007 0)90.16% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Benfica 81.94%
    Pacos de Ferreira 5.35%
    Draw 12.69%
BenficaDrawPacos de Ferreira
2-0 @ 14.78% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
3-0 @ 12.87% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-0 @ 11.32% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
4-0 @ 8.41% (0.022 0.02)
2-1 @ 7.79% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.78% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 4.43% (0.011 0.01)
5-0 @ 4.39% (0.018999999999999 0.02)
5-1 @ 2.31% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
6-0 @ 1.91% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.79% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.17% (0.0029999999999999 0)
6-1 @ 1.01% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 81.94%
1-1 @ 5.96% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.34% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-2 @ 2.05% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 12.69%
0-1 @ 2.28% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-2 @ 1.57% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 1.5%
Total : 5.35%

How you voted: Benfica vs Pacos de Ferreira

Benfica
85.2%
Draw
13.0%
Pacos de Ferreira
1.9%
54
Head to Head
May 13, 2022 8.15pm
Jan 9, 2022 6pm
Benfica
2-0
Pacos de Ferreira
Mario (45+5'), Grimaldo (75')
Otamendi (25'), Bernardo (90+1')

Fonseca (45+2'), Antunes (57'), Djalo (90')
Denilson (45+2')
Apr 10, 2021 8.30pm
Pacos de Ferreira
0-5
Benfica

Costa (58')
Eustaquio (22')
Goncalves (38'), Silva (45'), Seferovic (45+8', 78'), Nunez (89')
Goncalves (28'), Verissimo (33'), Grimaldo (43'), Waldschmidt (58'), Seferovic (61')
Dec 6, 2020 8pm
Benfica
2-1
Pacos de Ferreira
Silva (58'), Waldschmidt (90+4')
Otamendi (74')
Reabciuk (24')
Eustaquio (66'), Jordi (72'), Uilton (78'), Pepa (87')
Jan 26, 2020 5.30pm
Pacos de Ferreira
0-2
Benfica

Tanque (25'), Micael (38'), Silva (71')
Silva (39'), Vinicius (48')
Weigl (40'), Silva (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon15121243103337
2Porto1512123692737
3Benfica1411213482635
4Braga1584327161128
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara159061615127
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes146441814422
7Casa Pia155551618-220
8MoreirenseMoreirense156271922-320
9FamalicaoFamalicao154741817119
10Gil Vicente154561724-717
11Rio AveRio Ave144461525-1016
12Estoril PraiaEstoril143561221-914
13AVS152761122-1113
14BoavistaBoavista152671019-912
15Nacional14338819-1112
16Estrela Amadora143381224-1212
17SC FarenseFarense15339921-1212
18AroucaArouca153210926-1711


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