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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Pacos de Ferreira logo
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 4
Aug 26, 2022 at 8.15pm UK
Estádio da Capital do Móvel
Estoril

Pacos de Ferreira
0 - 3
Estoril


Kayky (15'), Butzke (77')
Djalo (53'), Peixoto (68'), Butzke (88')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Carlos (26', 43'), Lea Siliki (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between Pacos de Ferreira and Estoril Praia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Estoril 2-2 Rio Ave
Friday, August 19 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Pacos de Ferreira 2-2 Estoril Praia

Friday's game sees two sides who have stumbled into the new season square off and we expect them to take the game to each other in search of a morale-boosting result. Given their current form, Pacos de Ferreira and Estoril head into the weekend evenly matched on paper and we predict the spoils will be shared in an entertaining draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pacos de Ferreira win with a probability of 45.83%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 26.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pacos de Ferreira win was 1-0 with a probability of 14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.25%) and 2-1 (8.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.92%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 0-1 (9.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.

Result
Pacos de FerreiraDrawEstoril Praia
45.83% (0.007000000000005 0.01) 28.05% (0.251 0.25) 26.12% (-0.26 -0.26)
Both teams to score 44.18% (-0.839 -0.84)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.9% (-0.97199999999999 -0.97)61.1% (0.97 0.97)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.93% (-0.733 -0.73)81.07% (0.729 0.73)
Pacos de Ferreira Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.3% (-0.447 -0.45)26.69% (0.444 0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.05% (-0.593 -0.59)61.95% (0.591 0.59)
Estoril Praia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.26% (-0.773 -0.77)39.73% (0.773 0.77)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.59% (-0.72 -0.72)76.41% (0.718 0.72)
Score Analysis
    Pacos de Ferreira 45.82%
    Estoril Praia 26.12%
    Draw 28.04%
Pacos de FerreiraDrawEstoril Praia
1-0 @ 14% (0.33 0.33)
2-0 @ 9.25% (0.103 0.1)
2-1 @ 8.54% (-0.084999999999999 -0.08)
3-0 @ 4.07% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.76% (-0.086 -0.09)
3-2 @ 1.74% (-0.077 -0.08)
4-0 @ 1.35% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.24% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 45.82%
1-1 @ 12.92% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 10.6% (0.38 0.38)
2-2 @ 3.94% (-0.124 -0.12)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 28.04%
0-1 @ 9.79% (0.149 0.15)
1-2 @ 5.97% (-0.111 -0.11)
0-2 @ 4.52% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.84% (-0.073 -0.07)
0-3 @ 1.39% (-0.038 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.21% (-0.065 -0.07)
Other @ 1.41%
Total : 26.12%

How you voted: Pacos de Ferreira vs Estoril

Pacos de Ferreira
40.9%
Draw
36.4%
Estoril Praia
22.7%
22
Head to Head
Jan 31, 2022 7pm
Estoril
0-0
Pacos de Ferreira

Patrick (31'), Joaozinho (45+1'), Arthur (52'), Soria (64'), Gamboa (90+4')
Arthur (75')

Pires (35'), Lima (74')
Aug 23, 2021 7pm
Pacos de Ferreira
1-3
Estoril
Delgado (30')
Fonseca (58'), Ferreira (66'), Carlos (80')
Lourenco (45+1'), Franco (78' pen.), Joaozinho (81')
Geraldes (22'), Crespo (37'), Ferraresi (89')
Mar 17, 2018 4pm
Estoril
1-1
Pacos de Ferreira
Gomes (1')
Gomes (45'), Rodrigues (51')
Vieira (54')
Quinones (11'), Micael (71'), Martins (79'), Assis (85'), Correia (92')
Oct 29, 2017 6pm
Pacos de Ferreira
1-0
Estoril
Abner (5' og.)
Vieira (73'), Santos (76'), da Silva (77'), Pedrinho (90')
Santos (83')

Andrade (31')
Feb 11, 2017 6.15pm
Estoril
2-1
Pacos de Ferreira
Lica (10'), Monteiro (34' og.)
Amado (80'), Tocantins (88')
Osei (30')
Minhoca (5'), Dos Santos (32'), Da Silva (67')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon15121243103337
2Porto1512123692737
3Benfica1411213482635
4Braga1584327161128
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara159061615127
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes146441814422
7Casa Pia155551618-220
8MoreirenseMoreirense156271922-320
9FamalicaoFamalicao154741817119
10Gil Vicente154561724-717
11Rio AveRio Ave144461525-1016
12Estoril PraiaEstoril143561221-914
13AVS152761122-1113
14BoavistaBoavista152671019-912
15Nacional14338819-1112
16Estrela Amadora143381224-1212
17SC FarenseFarense15339921-1212
18AroucaArouca153210926-1711


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