Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 76.55%. A draw had a probability of 14.4% and a win for Rio Ave had a probability of 9.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.71%) and 2-1 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.7%), while for a Rio Ave win it was 1-2 (2.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Porto in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Porto.
Result | ||
Porto | Draw | Rio Ave |
76.55% (![]() | 14.43% (![]() | 9.01% (![]() |
Both teams to score 51.9% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
67.53% (![]() | 32.47% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
45.89% (![]() | 54.11% (![]() |
Porto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
93.02% (![]() | 6.97% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
74.46% (![]() | 25.54% (![]() |
Rio Ave Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.79% (![]() | 44.21% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.7% (![]() | 80.3% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Porto | Draw | Rio Ave |
2-0 @ 10.93% (![]() 3-0 @ 9.71% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 8.92% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 8.21% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 7.92% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 6.46% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 5.27% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 3.44% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.23% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 2.81% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 2.15% ( ![]() 6-0 @ 1.53% ( ![]() 6-1 @ 1.25% ( ![]() 5-2 @ 1.15% ( ![]() Other @ 3.57% Total : 76.55% | 1-1 @ 6.7% (![]() 2-2 @ 3.64% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 3.08% ( ![]() Other @ 1.01% Total : 14.43% | 1-2 @ 2.73% (![]() 0-1 @ 2.52% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 1.03% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 0.99% ( ![]() Other @ 1.75% Total : 9.01% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 25 | 18 | 5 | 2 | 67 | 22 | 45 | 59 |
2 | Benfica | 24 | 18 | 2 | 4 | 56 | 18 | 38 | 56 |
3 | Porto | 25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 49 | 20 | 29 | 50 |
4 | Braga | 25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 41 | 22 | 19 | 50 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 25 | 12 | 4 | 9 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 40 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 25 | 9 | 11 | 5 | 34 | 27 | 7 | 38 |
7 | Casa Pia | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 31 | 32 | -1 | 36 |
8 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 33 | 40 | -7 | 35 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 24 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 31 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 27 | 39 | -12 | 29 |
11 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 30 | 37 | -7 | 28 |
12 | AroucaArouca | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 24 | 38 | -14 | 28 |
13 | Nacional | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 26 |
14 | Gil Vicente | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 23 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 21 | 36 | -15 | 23 |
16 | AVS | 25 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 23 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 25 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 17 | 36 | -19 | 17 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 25 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 16 | 42 | -26 | 15 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |