Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 40.07%. A win for Rio Ave had a probability of 32.42% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Rio Ave win was 0-1 (10.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boavista would win this match.
Result | ||
Boavista | Draw | Rio Ave |
40.07% (![]() | 27.5% (![]() | 32.42% (![]() |
Both teams to score 48.81% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.23% (![]() | 56.76% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.29% (![]() | 77.71% (![]() |
Boavista Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.28% (![]() | 27.72% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.71% (![]() | 63.29% (![]() |
Rio Ave Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.53% (![]() | 32.47% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.01% (![]() | 68.99% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Boavista | Draw | Rio Ave |
1-0 @ 11.54% (![]() 2-1 @ 8.33% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 7.41% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.56% 3-0 @ 3.17% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.01% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.14% 4-0 @ 1.02% ( ![]() Other @ 1.89% Total : 40.07% | 1-1 @ 12.99% 0-0 @ 9% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.69% ( ![]() Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.5% | 0-1 @ 10.12% 1-2 @ 7.31% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.7% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.74% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.14% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.76% ( ![]() Other @ 2.67% Total : 32.42% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 25 | 18 | 5 | 2 | 67 | 22 | 45 | 59 |
2 | Benfica | 24 | 18 | 2 | 4 | 56 | 18 | 38 | 56 |
3 | Porto | 25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 49 | 20 | 29 | 50 |
4 | Braga | 25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 41 | 22 | 19 | 50 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 25 | 12 | 4 | 9 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 40 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 25 | 9 | 11 | 5 | 34 | 27 | 7 | 38 |
7 | Casa Pia | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 31 | 32 | -1 | 36 |
8 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 33 | 40 | -7 | 35 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 24 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 31 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 27 | 39 | -12 | 29 |
11 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 30 | 37 | -7 | 28 |
12 | AroucaArouca | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 24 | 38 | -14 | 28 |
13 | Nacional | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 26 |
14 | Gil Vicente | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 23 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 21 | 36 | -15 | 23 |
16 | AVS | 25 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 23 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 25 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 17 | 36 | -19 | 17 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 25 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 16 | 42 | -26 | 15 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |