Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 64.66%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Casa Pia had a probability of 14.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.7%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.78%), while for a Casa Pia win it was 0-1 (4.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Braga | Draw | Casa Pia |
64.66% ( 0.46) | 20.57% ( -0.21) | 14.77% ( -0.24) |
Both teams to score 49.01% ( 0.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.02% ( 0.44) | 45.99% ( -0.43) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.71% ( 0.41) | 68.29% ( -0.41) |
Braga Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.54% ( 0.27) | 13.47% ( -0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.53% ( 0.55) | 40.47% ( -0.54) |
Casa Pia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.64% ( -0.07) | 43.37% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.4% ( -0.06) | 79.6% ( 0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Braga | Draw | Casa Pia |
2-0 @ 11.73% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 11.7% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 9.81% ( -0) 3-0 @ 7.84% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 6.55% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 3.93% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 3.29% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.74% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 1.58% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 1.37% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.32% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.79% Total : 64.65% | 1-1 @ 9.78% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 5.84% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 4.1% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.85% Total : 20.57% | 0-1 @ 4.88% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 4.09% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 2.04% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.14% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.49% Total : 14.77% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 10 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 35 | 3 | 32 | 30 |
2 | Porto | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 4 | 23 | 27 |
3 | Benfica | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 6 | 18 | 22 |
4 | Braga | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 20 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 18 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 18 |
7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 16 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 14 |
9 | Casa Pia | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 12 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 10 |
11 | BoavistaBoavista | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 9 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 9 |
13 | AVS | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 9 |
14 | Rio AveRio Ave | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 9 |
15 | AroucaArouca | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 19 | -13 | 7 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 6 |
17 | Nacional | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 13 | -9 | 5 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 17 | -13 | 4 |
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