Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Benfica | 6 | 11 | 18 |
2 | Braga | 6 | 16 | 16 |
3 | Porto | 7 | 11 | 16 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
13 | Rio Ave | 7 | -3 | 6 |
14 | Vizela | 6 | -2 | 5 |
15 | Santa Clara | 7 | -3 | 5 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 65.41%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Vizela had a probability of 14.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.61%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.63%), while for a Vizela win it was 0-1 (4.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Braga in this match.
Result | ||
Braga | Draw | Vizela |
65.41% ( -0.51) | 20.24% ( 0.32) | 14.35% ( 0.19) |
Both teams to score 48.99% ( -0.58) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.55% ( -1.02) | 45.45% ( 1.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.21% ( -0.98) | 67.78% ( 0.98) |
Braga Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.92% ( -0.46) | 13.08% ( 0.46) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.31% ( -0.93) | 39.69% ( 0.94) |
Vizela Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.36% ( -0.36) | 43.64% ( 0.36) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.18% ( -0.3) | 79.82% ( 0.3) |
Score Analysis |
Braga | Draw | Vizela |
2-0 @ 11.8% ( 0.11) 1-0 @ 11.61% ( 0.31) 2-1 @ 9.79% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 8.01% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 6.64% ( -0.12) 4-0 @ 4.07% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 3.38% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 2.75% ( -0.08) 5-0 @ 1.66% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 1.4% ( -0.07) 5-1 @ 1.37% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.93% Total : 65.4% | 1-1 @ 9.63% ( 0.16) 0-0 @ 5.71% ( 0.25) 2-2 @ 4.06% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.85% Total : 20.24% | 0-1 @ 4.73% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 3.99% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 1.96% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.1% ( -0) Other @ 1.43% Total : 14.35% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 15 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 37 |
2 | Porto | 15 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 36 | 9 | 27 | 37 |
3 | Benfica | 14 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 34 | 8 | 26 | 35 |
4 | Braga | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 28 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 15 | 9 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 27 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 22 |
7 | Casa Pia | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 20 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 20 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 19 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 17 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 14 |
13 | AVS | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 13 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 12 |
15 | Nacional | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 19 | -11 | 12 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 21 | -12 | 12 |
18 | AroucaArouca | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 26 | -17 | 11 |
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