Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 46.24%. A win for Boavista had a probability of 28.86% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (7.79%). The likeliest Boavista win was 0-1 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gil Vicente would win this match.
Result | ||
Gil Vicente | Draw | Boavista |
46.24% ( 0.04) | 24.9% ( -0.03) | 28.86% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 55.29% ( 0.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.36% ( 0.13) | 47.64% ( -0.14) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.16% ( 0.12) | 69.84% ( -0.12) |
Gil Vicente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.35% ( 0.07) | 20.65% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.77% ( 0.11) | 53.23% ( -0.11) |
Boavista Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.68% ( 0.07) | 30.31% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.5% ( 0.08) | 66.49% ( -0.08) |
Score Analysis |
Gil Vicente | Draw | Boavista |
1-0 @ 9.88% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.3% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.79% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.89% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.1% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.92% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.93% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.62% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.15% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.69% Total : 46.24% | 1-1 @ 11.78% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.26% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.55% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.9% | 0-1 @ 7.47% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.03% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.46% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.8% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.21% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.77% Other @ 3.11% Total : 28.86% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 15 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 37 |
2 | Porto | 15 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 36 | 9 | 27 | 37 |
3 | Benfica | 14 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 34 | 8 | 26 | 35 |
4 | Braga | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 28 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 15 | 9 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 27 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 22 |
7 | Casa Pia | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 20 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 20 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 19 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 17 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 14 |
13 | AVS | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 13 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 12 |
15 | Nacional | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 19 | -11 | 12 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 21 | -12 | 12 |
18 | AroucaArouca | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 26 | -17 | 11 |
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