Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 85.29%. A draw had a probability of 10.1% and a win for Vizela had a probability of 4.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 3-0 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.85%) and 4-0 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.78%), while for a Vizela win it was 0-1 (1.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Porto in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Porto.
Result | ||
Porto | Draw | Vizela |
85.29% ( -0.04) | 10.09% ( 0.04) | 4.62% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 43.86% ( -0.2) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
71.05% ( -0.24) | 28.95% ( 0.24) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
50.09% ( -0.29) | 49.91% ( 0.3) |
Porto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
95.31% ( -0.05) | 4.69% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
80.96% ( -0.15) | 19.04% ( 0.16) |
Vizela Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
46.02% ( -0.19) | 53.98% ( 0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
12.74% ( -0.11) | 87.27% ( 0.12) |
Score Analysis |
Porto | Draw | Vizela |
3-0 @ 12.08% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 11.85% ( 0.09) 4-0 @ 9.25% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.75% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 7.45% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.31% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 5.7% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 5.66% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 3.49% ( -0.03) 6-0 @ 2.89% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.3% ( -0.02) 6-1 @ 1.78% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.76% ( -0.02) 7-0 @ 1.26% ( -0.01) 5-2 @ 1.08% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.7% Total : 85.28% | 1-1 @ 4.78% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 2.53% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 2.25% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.53% Total : 10.09% | 0-1 @ 1.56% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 1.47% ( -0) Other @ 1.59% Total : 4.62% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 15 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 37 |
2 | Porto | 15 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 36 | 9 | 27 | 37 |
3 | Benfica | 14 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 34 | 8 | 26 | 35 |
4 | Braga | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 28 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 15 | 9 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 27 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 22 |
7 | Casa Pia | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 20 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 20 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 19 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 17 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 14 |
13 | AVS | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 13 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 12 |
15 | Nacional | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 19 | -11 | 12 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 21 | -12 | 12 |
18 | AroucaArouca | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 26 | -17 | 11 |
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