Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 36.64%. A win for Vizela had a probability of 35.21% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.79%) and 0-2 (6.77%). The likeliest Vizela win was 1-0 (11.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.