Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pacos de Ferreira win with a probability of 39.53%. A win for Vizela had a probability of 33.76% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pacos de Ferreira win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Vizela win was 0-1 (9.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Pacos de Ferreira | Draw | Vizela |
39.53% ( -0.28) | 26.71% ( -0.19) | 33.76% ( 0.48) |
Both teams to score 51.57% ( 0.71) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.58% ( 0.86) | 53.41% ( -0.86) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.05% ( 0.72) | 74.95% ( -0.72) |
Pacos de Ferreira Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.54% ( 0.24) | 26.45% ( -0.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.37% ( 0.32) | 61.63% ( -0.32) |
Vizela Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.11% ( 0.74) | 29.88% ( -0.74) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.02% ( 0.88) | 65.97% ( -0.89) |
Score Analysis |
Pacos de Ferreira | Draw | Vizela |
1-0 @ 10.51% ( -0.28) 2-1 @ 8.44% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.99% ( -0.14) 3-1 @ 3.74% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 3.1% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.26% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 1.24% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.03% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.21% Total : 39.53% | 1-1 @ 12.69% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 7.9% ( -0.27) 2-2 @ 5.1% ( 0.11) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.7% | 0-1 @ 9.55% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 7.67% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 5.77% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 3.09% ( 0.11) 0-3 @ 2.32% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 2.05% ( 0.08) 1-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.38% Total : 33.76% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 15 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 37 |
2 | Porto | 15 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 36 | 9 | 27 | 37 |
3 | Benfica | 14 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 34 | 8 | 26 | 35 |
4 | Braga | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 28 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 15 | 9 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 27 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 22 |
7 | Casa Pia | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 20 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 20 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 19 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 17 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 14 |
13 | AVS | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 13 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 12 |
15 | Nacional | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 19 | -11 | 12 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 21 | -12 | 12 |
18 | AroucaArouca | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 26 | -17 | 11 |
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