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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Farense logo
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 26
Mar 16, 2024 at 6pm UK
Estadio de Sao Luis
Rio Ave

Farense
1 - 1
Rio Ave

Isidoro (31')
Matias (22'), Falcao (89')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Boateng (50')
Patrick (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between SC Farense and Rio Ave, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Vizela 2-1 Farense
Saturday, March 9 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Rio Ave 0-0 Braga
Saturday, March 9 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

We said: SC Farense 2-2 Rio Ave

The last four meetings between Farense and Rio Ave has produced a combined 15 goals and we anticipate another end-to-end affair at the Estadio de Sao Luis this weekend. Both sides are evenly matched on paper and we predict that they will cancel out each other's efforts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 41.05%. A win for SC Farense had a probability of 32.36% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.63%) and 0-2 (7.3%). The likeliest SC Farense win was 1-0 (9.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
SC FarenseDrawRio Ave
32.36% (-0.678 -0.68) 26.58% (-0.336 -0.34) 41.05% (1.017 1.02)
Both teams to score 51.6% (0.857 0.86)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.78% (1.181 1.18)53.22% (-1.179 -1.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.22% (0.992 0.99)74.78% (-0.991 -0.99)
SC Farense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.3% (0.142 0.14)30.7% (-0.14 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.04% (0.166 0.17)66.96% (-0.164 -0.16)
Rio Ave Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.46% (1.089 1.09)25.54% (-1.087 -1.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.6% (1.463 1.46)60.41% (-1.459 -1.46)
Score Analysis
    SC Farense 32.36%
    Rio Ave 41.05%
    Draw 26.58%
SC FarenseDrawRio Ave
1-0 @ 9.26% (-0.401 -0.4)
2-1 @ 7.46% (-0.056 -0.06)
2-0 @ 5.47% (-0.215 -0.22)
3-1 @ 2.94% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.15% (-0.076 -0.08)
3-2 @ 2% (0.054 0.05)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 32.36%
1-1 @ 12.63% (-0.15 -0.15)
0-0 @ 7.84% (-0.371 -0.37)
2-2 @ 5.09% (0.118 0.12)
3-3 @ 0.91% (0.052 0.05)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.58%
0-1 @ 10.7% (-0.16 -0.16)
1-2 @ 8.63% (0.168 0.17)
0-2 @ 7.3% (0.115 0.12)
1-3 @ 3.92% (0.194 0.19)
0-3 @ 3.32% (0.152 0.15)
2-3 @ 2.32% (0.123 0.12)
1-4 @ 1.34% (0.105 0.11)
0-4 @ 1.13% (0.085 0.09)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 41.05%

How you voted: Farense vs Rio Ave

SC Farense
28.9%
Draw
42.1%
Rio Ave
28.9%
38
Head to Head
Oct 29, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 9
Rio Ave
3-4
Farense
Jorge (33' og.), Pereira (42'), Costinha (62' pen.)
Nobrega (31'), Pereira (47'), Graca (90+5')
Belloumi (4'), Duarte (45+2'), Falcao (89'), Costa (90+3')
Matias (44'), Duarte (57'), Jorge (81')
Dec 13, 2022 8.45pm
Group Stage
Rio Ave
2-1
Farense
Yakubu (30', 73' pen.)
Muscat (62')
Mar 7, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 22
Rio Ave
2-0
Farense
Pele (27' pen.), Camacho (70')
Geraldes (22'), Jeronimo (82')

Miguel Barreto Henriques Marques (25'), Braima Nogueira (84')
Oct 25, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 5
Farense
0-1
Rio Ave

Falcao (42'), Isidoro (63'), Mansilla (79'), Oudrhiri (83')
Mane (20')
Augusto (25'), Jeronimo (32'), Borevkovic (46'), Diego (79'), Pele (79'), Amaral (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon17132248143441
2Benfica18132342113141
3Porto17131340112940
4Braga1794430191131
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara1710161816231
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes176742622425
7Casa Pia176651920-124
8MoreirenseMoreirense176472225-322
9FamalicaoFamalicao184862024-420
10Rio AveRio Ave175571828-1020
11Gil Vicente174761926-719
12Estoril PraiaEstoril174671828-1018
13Nacional174491323-1016
14Estrela Amadora174491629-1316
15AVS172961324-1115
16AroucaArouca1743101328-1515
17SC FarenseFarense173591123-1214
18BoavistaBoavista172691126-1512


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