Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 52.74%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Tondela had a probability of 22.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.84%) and 1-2 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.74%), while for a Tondela win it was 1-0 (7.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.