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[monks data]
Leipzig logo
Europa League | Semi-Finals | 1st Leg
Apr 28, 2022 at 8pm UK
Red Bull Arena
Rangers logo

RB Leipzig
1 - 0
Rangers

Angelino (85')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Goldson (90+2'), Tavernier (90+3')

Preview: RB Leipzig vs. Rangers - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between RB Leipzig and Rangers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

RB Leipzig and Rangers will look to take the next step towards winning the Europa League on Thursday night when they meet in the first leg of their Europa League semi-final.

At a time when Leipzig are in fourth position in the Bundesliga standings, Rangers are in second place in the Scottish Premiership table after recently losing ground to Celtic.


Match preview

Rangers manager Giovanni van Bronckhorst reacts on April 14, 2022© Reuters

With Rangers looking like they are going to concede the league title to Celtic, there is an argument that Giovanni van Bronckhorst is yet to fully convince since replacing Steven Gerrard in November.

However, having reached this stage of the Europa League and with a Scottish Cup final to come, criticism of the Dutchman lacks substance, and the Gers boss will have every confidence that his players can continue their heroics from earlier in this competition.

Although the success over Borussia Dortmund naturally set the tone, the manner of their victories over Red Star Belgrade and Braga have also been impressive, even if the Glasgow giants took longer than necessary to defeat the Portuguese side - eventually reduced to nine men during extra time - in the second leg of the quarter-finals.

Nevertheless, Rangers head into this contest on a four-match winning streak, a run which includes a victory over Celtic in the last four of the Scottish Cup, and 12 goals have been netted during those fixtures.

That said, with Aaron Ramsey and Kemar Roofe having recently joined a mounting injury list, Van Bronckhorst may have to rely on spirit over quality to stay competitive in this tie ahead of the second leg.

RB Leipzig coach Domenico Tedesco during the match on March 2, 2022© Reuters

While Rangers can look to Leipzig's defeat at home to Union Berlin on Saturday for encouragement, it represented their first loss in 15 games in all competitions.

The trajectory of this team has skyrocketed since the appointment of Domenico Tedesco in December, a total of 16 wins and just three defeats coming from 24 games, and they will have every confidence of ending the campaign with two pieces of silverware, the other potentially coming in the DFB Pokal.

Securing a place in next season's Champions League is realistically the priority, however, and they hold just a two-point advantage over fifth-placed Freiburg.

Since dropping out of European football's premier competition after the group stages, Leipzig have impressively come through ties against Real Sociedad and Atalanta BC.

On both occasions, Tedesco's side won by two goals in the second leg away from home, and those results highlight the quality which Leipzig possess at both ends of the pitch.

RB Leipzig Europa League form:
  • D
  • W
  • D
  • W

RB Leipzig form (all competitions):
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • L

Rangers Europa League form:
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • L
  • L
  • W

Rangers form (all competitions):
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W



Team News

Rangers' Ryan Kent scores their first goal against Red Star Belgrade on March 17, 2022© Reuters

With Roofe and Alfredo Morelos definitely on the sidelines and Ramsey also expected to miss out, Fashion Sakala is expected to get the nod down the middle of the Rangers attack.

Having been rested at the weekend, John Lundstram, Joe Aribo and Ryan Kent should all come back into the starting lineup, while Calvin Bassey is in line to return at left-back.

Despite getting on the scoresheet at Motherwell, Scott Wright is expected to be among the players who will drop down to the substitutes' bench.

Leipzig have numerous suspension issues for this fixture with Willi Orban, Mohamed Simakan and Kevin Kampl all missing out on Thursday.

Nordi Mukiele and Lukas Klostermann, providing that he has fully recovered from coronavirus, should take their places in defence, while Dani Olmo is favourite to return to the team in a creative area.

Andre Silva is likely to return to the attack to partner Christopher Nkunku, with Yussuf Poulsen the player to miss out.

RB Leipzig possible starting lineup:
Gulacsi; Mukiele, Klostermann, Gvardiol; Henrichs, Laimer, Adams, Angelino; Olmo; Nkunku, Silva

Rangers possible starting lineup:
McGregor; Tavernier, Goldson, Balogun, Bassey; Kamara, Lundstram, Jack; Aribo, Sakala, Kent


SM words green background

We say: RB Leipzig 2-0 Rangers

Rangers' task was already a difficult one before they suffered more injuries to key players in the final third. With that in mind, we cannot see how the visitors will stay competitive for the 90 minutes, and giving themselves a chance of turning things around at Ibrox may be the best that they can hope for against a talented squad.


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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 38.66%. A win for Rangers had a probability of 32.99% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.97%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Rangers win was 0-1 (10.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for RB Leipzig in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for RB Leipzig.


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Game History

How you voted: RB Leipzig vs Rangers

RB Leipzig
69.0%
Draw
14.4%
Rangers
16.6%
445
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Rangers' Kemar Roofe celebrates scoring their third goal with teammates on April 14, 2022
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