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Rio Ave
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 29
Apr 25, 2021 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio do Rio Ave
Pacos de Ferreira logo

Rio Ave
1 - 1
Pacos de Ferreira

Coentrao (49')
Borevkovic (34'), Amaral (36')
Pinto (81')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Uilton (31')
Rebocho (70')

Preview: Rio Ave vs. Pacos de Ferreira - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Rio Ave and Pacos de Ferreira, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Rio Ave and Pacos de Ferreira lock horns at the Estadio dos Arcos on Sunday, with both sides looking to end poor runs of form.

The hosts have fallen worryingly close to the bottom three of the Primeira Liga table after a six-game winless run, while their visitors have now lost their last four matches in the top flight.


Match preview

Miguel Cardoso, now in charge of Rio Ave, pictured in 2018© Reuters

Rio Ave have slipped worryingly close to the relegation zone recently, having failed to win any of their last six league games.

Miguel Cardoso's men suffered a disappointing defeat to strugglers Maritimo last time out, as Diederrick Joel Tagueu netted the only goal of the game after 12 minutes.

That meant Os Rioavistas have now picked up just four points from their last six games in the Portuguese top flight, falling to 14th spot as a result, with just a two-point gap between themselves and Maritimo in the relegation playoff place.

Their struggles this season have mainly come in attack, with only Belenenses scoring fewer than the 22 goals that Rio Ave have netted in 28 league outings.

Cardoso will be desperate for his side to get back to winning ways on Sunday, as they look to put some more crucial distance between themselves and the drop zone.

They take on a Pacos de Ferreira side who sit comfortably in fifth spot, despite a four-game losing run in the Primeira Liga.

Pacos de Ferreira head coach Pepa pictured in June 2020© Reuters

Pepa's side come into this game on the back of consecutive defeats to struggling sides, as they suffered 2-0 losses to Boavista and Farense.

Most recently, goals from Ryan Gauld and Fabricio Isidoro fired 17th-placed Farense to a surprise win at the Estadio da Mata Real, after Boavista also boosted their survival bid with a fairly comfortable 2-0 win over Os Castores.

As a result, Pepa's men have fallen well behind the top four, with 14 points now separating themselves and fourth-placed Braga.

They will be hopeful of returning to winning ways on Sunday, as they look to improve their chances of achieving European qualification for next season.

Rio Ave Primeira Liga form:
  • D
  • D
  • L
  • D
  • D
  • L

Pacos de Ferreira Primeira Liga form:
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • L



Team News

Rio Ave players Gelson and Carlos Mane celebrate after scoring against AC Milan in the Europa League in October 2020© Reuters

Rio Ave's squad will be majorly boosted by several returns for this game, as Gelson Dala comes back into the side following his red card in the draw with Braga.

Meanwhile, left-back Pedro Amaral and midfielder Felipe Augusto will also return from one-game suspensions, adding to Cardoso's options.

Their only absentee should be forward Andre Pereira, who remains out with a ligament rupture.

Os Castores will remain without midfielder Mohamed Diaby and centre-back Marco Baixinho, as the pair continue spells on the sidelines through injury.

Pacos de Ferreira midfielder Bruno Costa will serve a suspension on Sunday, after he picked up his fifth yellow card of the season last time out.

However, they did welcome important midfielder Stephen Eustaquio back to action in that game, following his suspension for a red card.

Forward Douglas Tanque will look to end his three-game goalless run on Sunday, having netted seven league goals so far this season.

Rio Ave possible starting lineup:
Kieszek; Pinto, Borevkovic, Santos, Amaral; Augusto, Pele, Guga; Mane, Dala, Geraldes

Pacos de Ferreira possible starting lineup:
Jordi; Fonseca, Marcelo, Gonzaga, Uilton; Eustaquio, Ibrahim, Moreira; Singh, Tanque, Ferreira


SM words green background

We say: Rio Ave 2-1 Pacos de Ferreira

Both sides come into this game in poor runs of form, and the tie could definitely go either way.

On this occasion, we see Rio Ave breaking their winless run, as their requirement for a win grows larger and their situation at the bottom of the table worsens, we expect Cardoso to galvanise his side and inspire them to a crucial victory.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data



ID:444416:1false2false3false:QQ:: from db desktop :LenBod:collect8828:
Written by
Sam Varley

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 42.84%. A win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 29.1% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.41%) and 2-0 (8.35%). The likeliest Pacos de Ferreira win was 0-1 (10.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Rio Ave vs Pacos de Ferreira

Rio Ave
50.0%
Draw
16.7%
Pacos de Ferreira
33.3%
6
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon15121243103337
2Porto1512123692737
3Benfica1411213482635
4Braga1584327161128
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara159061615127
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes146441814422
7Casa Pia155551618-220
8MoreirenseMoreirense156271922-320
9FamalicaoFamalicao154741817119
10Gil Vicente154561724-717
11Rio AveRio Ave144461525-1016
12Estoril PraiaEstoril143561221-914
13AVS152761122-1113
14BoavistaBoavista152671019-912
15Nacional14338819-1112
16Estrela Amadora143381224-1212
17SC FarenseFarense15339921-1212
18AroucaArouca153210926-1711


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