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Sassuolo logo
Coppa Italia | Final
Jan 19, 2022 at 4.30pm UK
Stadio Alberto Braglia
Cagliari logo

Sassuolo
1 - 0
Cagliari

FT(HT: 1-0)

Obert (53')

Preview: Sassuolo vs. Cagliari - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Coppa Italia clash between Sassuolo and Cagliari, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Following Serie A losses at the weekend, Sassuolo and Cagliari switch their focus to their Coppa Italia clash on Wednesday, when they meet in a last-16 tie at the Mapei Stadium.

The hosts enter the competition at this stage due to their impressive league finish last term and will vie with their Sardinian visitors for the right to meet Sampdoria or Juventus in the quarter-finals.


Match preview

Sassuolo coach Alessio Dionisi before the match on September 12, 2021© Reuters

Having started the year with four points from a possible six against teams from the bottom half of the Serie A standings, Sassuolo saw their progress derailed on Sunday by a careless performance versus Verona.

Though the Neroverdi managed to score twice themselves, through Gianluca Scamacca's close-range volley and a header from substitute Gregoire Defrel, they came a cropper at their Reggio-Emilia headquarters - conceding an Antonin Barak hat-trick in a 4-2 defeat.

Alessio Dionisi's side did pull within a goal of their opponents early in the second half, but centre-back Vlad Chiriches then gave away a penalty which Barak coolly converted, making it 16 successive games that they have now conceded in Serie A.

Nonetheless, they have lost only two of their last 10 league outings, and the ex-Empoli coach had previously masterminded a 5-1 victory over his former club on away soil, with his talented attacking trident picking apart the Tuscan team's defence.

Giacomo Raspadori, Scamacca and their fellow Italy international Domenico Berardi - who was sorely missed on Sunday - all found the net at the Castellani, and the latter pair were also on target when Sassuolo drew 2-2 with this week's Coppa Italia opponents in November.

Held at the Mapei Stadium that day by a side which has struggled to pick up points in the league, the Emilians will now aim for a better result at the same venue as they switch attention to their cup campaign - having never lifted the trophy before in their history.

Cagliari's Keita Balde celebrates scoring their second goal with teammates on September 19, 2021© Reuters

Cagliari have also failed to upset the odds and claim the Coppa, though they did once reach the final in 1969, when they were beaten by capital heavyweights Roma.

The same opposition sent the Isolani to defeat on Sunday evening too, as they were edged out 1-0 at Stadio Olimpico - being denied an equaliser by the crossbar in the closing minutes.

Indeed, Roma's winner only came about when debutant Sergio Oliveira's shot struck Dalbert's arm from close range and the Portuguese midfielder placed his penalty past Alessio Cragno.

Nevertheless, Walter Mazzarri's men had come from behind to win both of their previous two league games - lifting themselves back into the mix for Serie A survival after a terrible start to the campaign - and will now be able to play free of expectation in cup competition.

The Rossoblu reached this stage by virtue of 3-1 victories against Serie B sides Pisa and Cittadella, in August and December respectively. To progress to the quarter-finals, though, they will have to rise above their general malaise on the road, having picked up three draws and just one win from their 11 away games this season.

Sassuolo form (all competitions):
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • D
  • W
  • L

Cagliari Coppa Italia form:
  • W
  • W

Cagliari form (all competitions):
  • W
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • L



Team News

Sassuolo's Domenico Berardi celebrates scoring their third goal on November 28, 2021© Reuters

Sassuolo will have their talisman Domenico Berardi back in the fold on Wednesday, as he returns from serving a suspension in Serie A, but several other players, including Filip Djuricic, Hamed Traore and Henrique, are unavailable to Alessio Dionisi.

The Neroverdi coach criticised midfielder Maxime Lopez for his first-half performance in the loss to Verona, calling his attitude into question, so the Frenchman may be among those rotated out of the side as the hosts make some changes - in particular, Kaan Ayhan and Abdou Harroui are both pushing for a place.

Both Giacomo Raspadori and Gianluca Scamacca have scored five times for the club since the start of December, and may join Berardi in a three-man attack, but Dionisi could well offer Gregoire Defrel a start instead.

Meanwhile, Cagliari still have Kevin Strootman, Martin Caceres and Sebastian Walukiewicz ruled out by injury, while Matteo Lovato - on loan from Atalanta until the end of the season - is a minor doubt, and Keita Balde remains on Senegal duty at the Africa Nations Cup.

Walter Mazzarri is likely to rotate his wing-backs, bringing Raoul Bellanova and Charalampos Lykogiannis in for Gabriele Zappa and Dalbert respectively, and back-up goalkeeper Boris Radunovic may be given a chance to impress between the posts.

Sassuolo possible starting lineup:
Pegolo; Toljan, Ayhan, Ferrari, Rogerio; Frattesi, Harroui; Defrel, Raspadori, Kyriakopoulos; Scamacca

Cagliari possible starting lineup:
Radunovic; Altare, Lovato, Carboni; Bellanova, Nandez, Grassi, Pereiro, Lykogiannis; Pedro, Pavoletti


SM words green background

We say: Sassuolo 2-0 Cagliari

With greater firepower and home advantage in their favour, Sassuolo should progress to the final eight and continue their pursuit of some rare silverware.

Even if the hosts decide to field an unfamiliar first XI, Cagliari are notoriously bad travellers and will inevitably be caught out defensively at some stage.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 57.97%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 20.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.62%) and 1-0 (8.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.69%), while for a Cagliari win it was 1-2 (5.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sassuolo would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Sassuolo vs Cagliari

Sassuolo
80.6%
Draw
18.1%
Cagliari
1.4%
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