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Scottish Cup | Fourth Round
Jan 20, 2024 at 3pm UK
Tony Macaroni Arena
Raith Rovers

Livingston
2 - 1
Raith Rovers

Brandon (32'), MacKay (82')
Shinnie (86'), MacKay (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Hamilton (5')
Smith (76')
Coverage of the Scottish Cup Fourth Round clash between Livingston and Raith Rovers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Livingston 1-2 Hearts
Tuesday, January 2 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Raith Rovers 1-2 Queen's Park
Saturday, January 13 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 39.52%. A win for Livingston had a probability of 34.5% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.55%) and 0-2 (6.69%). The likeliest Livingston win was 1-0 (8.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
LivingstonDrawRaith Rovers
34.5%25.97%39.52%
Both teams to score 54.1%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.76%50.24%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.8%72.19%
Livingston Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.13%27.86%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.53%63.46%
Raith Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75%25%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.34%59.65%
Score Analysis
    Livingston 34.5%
    Raith Rovers 39.52%
    Draw 25.96%
LivingstonDrawRaith Rovers
1-0 @ 8.9%
2-1 @ 7.89%
2-0 @ 5.69%
3-1 @ 3.36%
3-0 @ 2.42%
3-2 @ 2.33%
4-1 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 34.5%
1-1 @ 12.33%
0-0 @ 6.96%
2-2 @ 5.47%
3-3 @ 1.08%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.96%
0-1 @ 9.66%
1-2 @ 8.55%
0-2 @ 6.69%
1-3 @ 3.95%
0-3 @ 3.09%
2-3 @ 2.53%
1-4 @ 1.37%
0-4 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 39.52%

Head to Head
Jul 21, 2021 7.45pm
Group Stage
Livingston
0-0
Raith Rovers
Livingston win 6-5 on penalties
Pittman (37')
Apr 3, 2021 3pm
Third Round
Livingston
2-1
Raith Rovers
Fitzwater (70'), Poplatnik (109')
Holt (77')
Vaughan (13')
Hendry (36'), Spencer (90')
Jan 18, 2020 3pm
Fourth Round
Livingston
3-1
Raith Rovers
Lawless (77' pen., 91' pen.), Dykes (78')
Lawson (73'), Bartley (82')
Baird (22')
Tait (68')
May 1, 2016 12.30pm
Feb 20, 2016 3pm
rhs 2.0
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