MX23RW : Friday, January 17 08:16:37| >> :600:2615876:2615876:
Falkirk
Scottish League Cup | Group Stage
Jul 27, 2024 at 3pm UK
Falkirk Community Stadium
Stenhousemuir

Falkirk
4 - 0
Stenhousemuir

Morrison (25' pen.), Maciver (31', 56'), Henderson (68')
Morrison (39')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Jacobs (9'), Berry (23'), Bilham (35'), Taylor (42'), O'Donnell (69'), Ewen (90+1')
Coverage of the Scottish League Cup Group Stage clash between Falkirk and Stenhousemuir.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Buckie Thistle 1-5 Falkirk
Saturday, July 20 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Stenhousemuir 1-4 Ayr
Tuesday, July 23 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 71.44%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for Stenhousemuir had a probability of 11.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.73%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.07%), while for a Stenhousemuir win it was 0-1 (3.42%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Falkirk would win this match.

Result
FalkirkDrawStenhousemuir
71.44% (-0.286 -0.29) 17.12% (0.179 0.18) 11.44% (0.109 0.11)
Both teams to score 51.05% (-0.289 -0.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.75% (-0.56 -0.56)38.24% (0.561 0.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.48% (-0.596 -0.6)60.52% (0.59800000000001 0.6)
Falkirk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.54% (-0.211 -0.21)9.46% (0.2131 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.23% (-0.499 -0.5)31.77% (0.502 0.5)
Stenhousemuir Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.39% (-0.186 -0.19)43.61% (0.187 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.2% (-0.154 -0.15)79.8% (0.155 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Falkirk 71.44%
    Stenhousemuir 11.44%
    Draw 17.12%
FalkirkDrawStenhousemuir
2-0 @ 11.47% (0.09 0.09)
1-0 @ 9.73% (0.167 0.17)
2-1 @ 9.52% (0.025 0.03)
3-0 @ 9.02% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-1 @ 7.48% (-0.052 -0.05)
4-0 @ 5.32% (-0.06 -0.06)
4-1 @ 4.41% (-0.073 -0.07)
3-2 @ 3.11% (-0.037 -0.04)
5-0 @ 2.51% (-0.053 -0.05)
5-1 @ 2.08% (-0.055 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.83% (-0.04 -0.04)
6-0 @ 0.99% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 3.99%
Total : 71.44%
1-1 @ 8.07% (0.098 0.1)
0-0 @ 4.13% (0.11 0.11)
2-2 @ 3.95% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 17.12%
0-1 @ 3.42% (0.074 0.07)
1-2 @ 3.35% (0.023 0.02)
0-2 @ 1.42% (0.024 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.09% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 0.93% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.22%
Total : 11.44%

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