Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alloa Athletic win with a probability of 43.39%. A win for Peterhead had a probability of 31.63% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alloa Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Peterhead win was 0-1 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.