Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 40.4%. A win for Dundee United had a probability of 33.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 0-1 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.63%) and 0-2 (6.95%). The likeliest Dundee United win was 1-0 (8.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Dundee United | Draw | Hearts |
33.47% ( 0.62) | 26.12% ( -0.03) | 40.4% ( -0.59) |
Both teams to score 53.4% ( 0.28) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.95% ( 0.27) | 51.05% ( -0.28) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.09% ( 0.24) | 72.9% ( -0.24) |
Dundee United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.1% ( 0.54) | 28.89% ( -0.54) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.23% ( 0.66) | 64.76% ( -0.67) |
Hearts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.1% ( -0.19) | 24.9% ( 0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.48% ( -0.26) | 59.52% ( 0.26) |
Score Analysis |
Dundee United | Draw | Hearts |
1-0 @ 8.93% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 7.71% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 5.55% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 3.19% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 2.3% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 2.22% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 0.99% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.6% Total : 33.48% | 1-1 @ 12.41% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.19% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 5.36% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.11% | 0-1 @ 10% ( -0.16) 1-2 @ 8.63% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 6.95% ( -0.15) 1-3 @ 4% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 3.22% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 2.48% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.39% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.6% Total : 40.4% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 29 | 3 | 26 | 28 |
2 | Aberdeen | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 28 |
3 | RangersRangers | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 19 |
4 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 16 |
5 | Motherwell | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 16 |
6 | Dundee | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 12 |
7 | St Mirren | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 12 |
8 | Kilmarnock | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 12 |
9 | Ross County | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 12 |
10 | St Johnstone | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 10 |
11 | Hearts | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 9 |
12 | Hibernian | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 8 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |