Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 37.5%. A win for Dundee had a probability of 35.04% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.06%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Dundee win was 0-1 (10.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Dundee would win this match.
Result | ||
Livingston | Draw | Dundee |
37.5% ( 0.07) | 27.45% ( -0.02) | 35.04% ( -0.06) |
Both teams to score 49.42% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.79% ( 0.06) | 56.21% ( -0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.74% ( 0.05) | 77.26% ( -0.05) |
Livingston Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.06% ( 0.07) | 28.94% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.18% ( 0.09) | 64.82% ( -0.09) |
Dundee Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.55% ( -0.01) | 30.45% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.34% ( -0.01) | 66.66% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Livingston | Draw | Dundee |
1-0 @ 10.92% 2-1 @ 8.06% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.78% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.33% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.8% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.98% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.03% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.6% Total : 37.5% | 1-1 @ 12.99% 0-0 @ 8.81% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.79% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.86% Total : 27.45% | 0-1 @ 10.47% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.72% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 6.23% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.06% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.47% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.9% ( 0) 1-4 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 2.27% Total : 35.03% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 29 | 3 | 26 | 28 |
2 | Aberdeen | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 28 |
3 | RangersRangers | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 19 |
4 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 16 |
5 | Motherwell | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 16 |
6 | Dundee | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 12 |
7 | St Mirren | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 12 |
8 | Kilmarnock | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 12 |
9 | Ross County | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 12 |
10 | St Johnstone | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 10 |
11 | Hearts | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 9 |
12 | Hibernian | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 8 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |