Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 46.26%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 28.05% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (8.26%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 0-1 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Motherwell | Draw | Kilmarnock |
46.26% ( 0.71) | 25.69% ( 0.23) | 28.05% ( -0.95) |
Both teams to score 52.24% ( -1.36) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.62% ( -1.48) | 51.38% ( 1.48) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.8% ( -1.31) | 73.19% ( 1.3) |
Motherwell Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.81% ( -0.3) | 22.19% ( 0.3) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.4% ( -0.45) | 55.6% ( 0.45) |
Kilmarnock Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.14% ( -1.49) | 32.86% ( 1.48) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.57% ( -1.69) | 69.42% ( 1.68) |
Score Analysis |
Motherwell | Draw | Kilmarnock |
1-0 @ 10.97% ( 0.54) 2-1 @ 9.2% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.26% ( 0.34) 3-1 @ 4.62% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 4.15% ( 0.13) 3-2 @ 2.57% ( -0.13) 4-1 @ 1.74% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.56% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.23% Total : 46.26% | 1-1 @ 12.21% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 7.29% ( 0.42) 2-2 @ 5.12% ( -0.21) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.68% | 0-1 @ 8.12% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 6.8% ( -0.21) 0-2 @ 4.52% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 2.52% ( -0.19) 2-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.16) 0-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.52% Total : 28.05% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 16 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 44 | 4 | 40 | 44 |
2 | RangersRangers | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 35 |
3 | Aberdeen | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 31 | 21 | 10 | 34 |
4 | Motherwell | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 26 |
5 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 25 |
6 | St Mirren | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 24 |
7 | Dundee | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 19 |
8 | Hibernian | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 18 |
9 | Kilmarnock | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 35 | -16 | 18 |
10 | Hearts | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 16 |
11 | Ross County | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 35 | -21 | 15 |
12 | St Johnstone | 18 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 14 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |