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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 18
Dec 20, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Fir Park
Kilmarnock logo

Motherwell
1 - 1
Kilmarnock

Gordon (17')
Paton (56')
Casey (77')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Polworth (74')
Watson (45'), Armstrong (78'), J (85'), Magennis (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Scottish Premiership clash between Motherwell and Kilmarnock, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Motherwell 4-3 Dundee Utd
Saturday, December 14 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Kilmarnock 1-0 Hearts
Sunday, December 15 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Motherwell 2-0 Kilmarnock

The hosts have returned to form with back-to-back wins heading into this one, and with the visitors failing to win in their last six visits to Fir Park, we believe Motherwell will claim another victory here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 46.26%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 28.05% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (8.26%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 0-1 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.

Result
MotherwellDrawKilmarnock
46.26% (0.71100000000001 0.71) 25.69% (0.233 0.23) 28.05% (-0.95 -0.95)
Both teams to score 52.24% (-1.36 -1.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.62% (-1.484 -1.48)51.38% (1.479 1.48)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.8% (-1.31 -1.31)73.19% (1.304 1.3)
Motherwell Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.81% (-0.30200000000001 -0.3)22.19% (0.295 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.4% (-0.453 -0.45)55.6% (0.448 0.45)
Kilmarnock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.14% (-1.487 -1.49)32.86% (1.481 1.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.57% (-1.686 -1.69)69.42% (1.68 1.68)
Score Analysis
    Motherwell 46.26%
    Kilmarnock 28.05%
    Draw 25.68%
MotherwellDrawKilmarnock
1-0 @ 10.97% (0.54 0.54)
2-1 @ 9.2% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.26% (0.338 0.34)
3-1 @ 4.62% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-0 @ 4.15% (0.134 0.13)
3-2 @ 2.57% (-0.128 -0.13)
4-1 @ 1.74% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.56% (0.037 0.04)
4-2 @ 0.97% (-0.057 -0.06)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 46.26%
1-1 @ 12.21% (0.12 0.12)
0-0 @ 7.29% (0.422 0.42)
2-2 @ 5.12% (-0.206 -0.21)
3-3 @ 0.95% (-0.089 -0.09)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.68%
0-1 @ 8.12% (0.153 0.15)
1-2 @ 6.8% (-0.211 -0.21)
0-2 @ 4.52% (-0.099 -0.1)
1-3 @ 2.52% (-0.186 -0.19)
2-3 @ 1.9% (-0.158 -0.16)
0-3 @ 1.68% (-0.107 -0.11)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 28.05%

How you voted: Motherwell vs Kilmarnock

Motherwell
73.8%
Draw
11.5%
Kilmarnock
14.8%
61
Head to Head
Aug 18, 2024 2pm
Second Round
Motherwell
1-0
Kilmarnock
(Aggregate 0-0 | Motherwell win 0-0 on penalties)
Ebiye (96')
Casey (48'), Sparrow (105')

Findlay (44'), Lyons (87'), O'Hara (90+5'), Watson (95'), Deas (110')
Findlay (51')
Feb 3, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 24
Motherwell
1-1
Kilmarnock
Bair (38')
Butcher (80'), Spittal (85')
Mayo (13')
Wright (36'), Armstrong (48'), Stewart (80'), Findlay (85'), van Veen (90+5')
Nov 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 12
Kilmarnock
1-0
Motherwell
Cameron (49')
Watson (38'), Lyons (90+5')

Casey (32')
Aug 26, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 3
Motherwell
2-1
Kilmarnock
Casey (59'), Paton (90+8')
O'Donnell (43'), Spencer (52'), Slattery (57'), Paton (66'), Casey (71'), McGinn (90+2')
Watkins (12')
Watkins (32'), Deas (66'), Watson (73')
May 6, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 34
Motherwell
2-0
Kilmarnock
Spittal (4'), Van Veen (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Celtic1614204444044
2RangersRangers1611232891935
3Aberdeen17104331211034
4Motherwell178272327-426
5Dundee UnitedDundee Utd176742519625
6St Mirren187382429-524
7Dundee175482730-319
8Hibernian184682430-618
9Kilmarnock184681935-1618
10Hearts1844102027-716
11Ross County183691435-2115
12St Johnstone1842122134-1314


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