Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 46.84%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 27.45% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.23%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 0-1 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Motherwell | Draw | Kilmarnock |
46.84% ( 0.69) | 25.71% ( 0.01) | 27.45% ( -0.7) |
Both teams to score 51.76% ( -0.52) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.19% ( -0.45) | 51.81% ( 0.45) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.43% ( -0.39) | 73.57% ( 0.39) |
Motherwell Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.89% ( 0.12) | 22.11% ( -0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.53% ( 0.19) | 55.47% ( -0.19) |
Kilmarnock Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.46% ( -0.77) | 33.54% ( 0.77) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.81% ( -0.86) | 70.19% ( 0.86) |
Score Analysis |
Motherwell | Draw | Kilmarnock |
1-0 @ 11.19% ( 0.24) 2-1 @ 9.23% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 8.45% ( 0.21) 3-1 @ 4.64% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 4.25% ( 0.12) 3-2 @ 2.54% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.75% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.6% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 0.96% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.24% Total : 46.84% | 1-1 @ 12.22% 0-0 @ 7.42% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 5.04% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.7% | 0-1 @ 8.1% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 6.68% ( -0.14) 0-2 @ 4.42% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 2.43% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.38% Total : 27.45% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 23 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 64 | 11 | 53 | 60 |
2 | RangersRangers | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 41 | 18 | 23 | 44 |
3 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 37 |
4 | Aberdeen | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 35 |
5 | Motherwell | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 28 | 37 | -9 | 31 |
6 | Hibernian | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 29 |
7 | Dundee | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 27 |
8 | St Mirren | 23 | 8 | 3 | 12 | 27 | 38 | -11 | 27 |
9 | Kilmarnock | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 25 | 37 | -12 | 25 |
10 | Ross County | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 42 | -19 | 25 |
11 | Hearts | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 24 |
12 | St Johnstone | 23 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 25 | 47 | -22 | 15 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |