Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Gijon win with a probability of 37.94%. A draw had a probability of 31.2% and a win for Alcorcon had a probability of 30.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Gijon win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.73%) and 1-2 (7.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.19%), while for an Alcorcon win it was 1-0 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Gijon would win this match.