Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cadiz win with a probability of 47.34%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Eldense had a probability of 25.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cadiz win was 0-1 with a probability of 14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.56%) and 1-2 (8.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.77%), while for a Eldense win it was 1-0 (9.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cadiz would win this match.