We said: Girona 1-1 Eibar
We fancy Eibar to beat Girona over two legs, but the visitors might be forced to accept a draw on Thursday. Girona's home form this season has been strong, recording 13 league victories, and we can see the two teams playing out a low-scoring draw in this contest.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 44.54%. A win for Eibar had a probability of 27.78% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.7%) and 2-1 (8.62%). The likeliest Eibar win was 0-1 (9.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.