Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malaga win with a probability of 40.49%. A win for UD Ibiza had a probability of 30.57% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malaga win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.97%) and 2-0 (7.96%). The likeliest UD Ibiza win was 0-1 (11.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.