Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
5 | Juventus | 2 | 3 | 4 |
6 | AC Milan | 2 | 2 | 4 |
7 | Atalanta BC | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
12 | Spezia | 2 | -2 | 3 |
13 | Bologna | 2 | -1 | 1 |
14 | Empoli | 2 | -1 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 71.06%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Bologna had a probability of 10.59%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.65%) and 3-0 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.68%), while for a Bologna win it was 0-1 (4.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for AC Milan in this match.
Result | ||
AC Milan | Draw | Bologna |
71.06% ( 0.22) | 18.34% ( -0.11) | 10.59% ( -0.1) |
Both teams to score 43.83% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.77% ( 0.19) | 46.23% ( -0.19) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.48% ( 0.18) | 68.52% ( -0.18) |
AC Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.28% ( 0.11) | 11.72% ( -0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.16% ( 0.24) | 36.84% ( -0.24) |
Bologna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
49.64% ( -0.07) | 50.35% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
15.1% ( -0.05) | 84.9% ( 0.05) |
Score Analysis |
AC Milan | Draw | Bologna |
2-0 @ 13.56% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 12.65% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 9.69% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.31% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.65% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 5.2% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 3.57% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.28% ( 0) 5-0 @ 2.23% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1.53% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.22% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.18% Total : 71.06% | 1-1 @ 8.68% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 5.9% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 3.19% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.57% Total : 18.34% | 0-1 @ 4.05% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 2.98% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 1.39% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.18% Total : 10.59% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 38 |
2 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 37 |
3 | Inter Milan | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 40 | 15 | 25 | 34 |
4 | Lazio | 17 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 32 | 24 | 8 | 34 |
5 | Fiorentina | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 16 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 28 |
7 | Bologna | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 28 |
8 | AC Milan | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 26 |
9 | Udinese | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
10 | Empoli | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 19 |
11 | Torino | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 19 |
12 | Roma | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 16 |
13 | Genoa | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
14 | Lecce | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 16 |
15 | Parma | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 15 |
16 | Como | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 15 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 17 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 15 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 14 |
19 | Monza | 16 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 10 |
> Serie A Full Table |