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Serie A | Gameweek 1
Aug 13, 2022 at 5.30pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Udinese logo

AC Milan
4 - 2
Udinese

Hernandez (11' pen.), Rebic (15', 68'), Diaz (46')
Krunic (34')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Becao (2'), Masina (45+3')
Soppy (9'), Becao (34'), Perez (55'), Ebosele (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Udinese, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Vicenza 1-6 AC Milan
Saturday, August 6 at 6pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Udinese 2-1 FeralpiSalo
Friday, August 5 at 5pm in Coppa Italia

We said: AC Milan 2-1 Udinese

Milan may have underwhelmed in the transfer market, but they have a clearly defined way of playing and it has proven effective across the past two years. A home game against relatively modest opponents should be a gift, then, to start the new season, but Udinese can be tricky customers and will not be easily dispatched. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 66.5%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Udinese had a probability of 13.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.51%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.59%), while for a Udinese win it was 0-1 (4.77%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result
AC MilanDrawUdinese
66.5% (-0.041000000000011 -0.04) 20.2% (0.023000000000003 0.02) 13.3% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
Both teams to score 46.36% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.5% (-0.071999999999996 -0.07)47.49% (0.069000000000003 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.29% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)69.7% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.61% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)13.39% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.69% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)40.31% (0.066000000000003 0.07)
Udinese Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.52% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)46.47% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.91% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)82.08% (0.01400000000001 0.01)
Score Analysis
    AC Milan 66.49%
    Udinese 13.3%
    Draw 20.2%
AC MilanDrawUdinese
2-0 @ 12.57%
1-0 @ 12.51% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.64% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
3-0 @ 8.43% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.46% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
4-0 @ 4.24% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.25% (-0.0079999999999996 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.48% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
5-0 @ 1.7% (-0.006 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.31% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 1.24% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 66.49%
1-1 @ 9.59% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.22% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 3.69% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 20.2%
0-1 @ 4.77% (0.011 0.01)
1-2 @ 3.67% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-2 @ 1.83% (0.0029999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 0.94% (-0.002 -0)
1-3 @ 0.94%
Other @ 1.15%
Total : 13.3%

How you voted: AC Milan vs Udinese

AC Milan
89.3%
Draw
9.8%
Udinese
0.8%
122
Head to Head
Feb 25, 2022 5.50pm
AC Milan
1-1
Udinese
Leao (29')
Rebic (68'), Leao (90+4')
Udogie (66')
Perez (17'), Becao (49'), Molina (73'), Success (77')
Dec 11, 2021 7.45pm
Udinese
1-1
AC Milan
Beto (17')
Perez (25'), Deulofeu (55')
Success (90+5')
Ibrahimovic (90+2')
Castillejo (87'), Florenzi (90+5')
Mar 3, 2021 7.45pm
AC Milan
1-1
Udinese
Kessie (90+7' pen.)
Rebic (24'), Hernandez (32'), Romagnoli (90+2'), Kessie (90+4')
Becao (68')
Zeegelaar (54')
Nov 1, 2020 11.30am
Udinese
1-2
AC Milan
De Paul (48' pen.)
Becao (24'), Arslan (39')
Kessie (18'), Ibrahimovic (83')
Hernandez (13'), Donnarumma (49')
Jan 19, 2020 11.30am
AC Milan
3-2
Udinese
Rebic (48', 93'), Hernandez (72')
Bennacer (40'), Pioli (53'), Conti (63'), Ibrahimovic (80'), Castillejo (94')
Stryger Larsen (6'), Lasagna (85')
Sema (27')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta17131342192340
2Napoli17122326121438
3Inter Milan15104140152534
4Lazio1711153224834
5Fiorentina1594228111731
6Juventus16610026121428
7Bologna167722318528
8AC Milan167542516926
9Udinese166281925-620
10Roma175482323019
11Empoli174761619-319
12Torino175481722-519
13Genoa173771426-1216
14Lecce174491129-1816
15Parma173682333-1015
16Como163671828-1015
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1750122140-1915
18CagliariCagliari173591628-1214
19VeneziaVenezia1734101730-1313
20Monza161781421-710


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