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Serie A | Gameweek 2
Aug 21, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Gewiss Stadium
Milan logo

Atalanta
1 - 1
AC Milan

Malinovskyi (29')
Toloi (16'), Hateboer (48'), Djimsiti (78'), de Roon (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Bennacer (68')
Pioli (23'), Rebic (45+1'), Tonali (75'), Hernandez (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Atalanta BC and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Atalanta BC 1-2 AC Milan

Always an intriguing match-up, these two sides have clearly defined modes of play and a strongly-held identity. Though pragmatic, Milan's is generally more effective, and they can prolong their winning run by outscoring opponents who can barely buy a win on home turf. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 48.85%. A win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 28.98% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.7%) and 0-2 (6.42%). The likeliest Atalanta BC win was 2-1 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.

Result
Atalanta BCDrawAC Milan
28.98% (0.025000000000002 0.03) 22.17% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 48.85% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Both teams to score 65.02% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.12% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)34.88% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.14% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)56.86% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.24% (0.0019999999999953 0)23.76% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.09% (0.0030000000000001 0)57.91% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.28% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)14.72% (0.023 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.09% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)42.91% (0.044000000000004 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Atalanta BC 28.98%
    AC Milan 48.85%
    Draw 22.17%
Atalanta BCDrawAC Milan
2-1 @ 6.92% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-0 @ 5.03% (0.008 0.01)
2-0 @ 3.61% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.32% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 3.18%
3-0 @ 1.73% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 1.19% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.14%
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 28.98%
1-1 @ 9.63% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.63%
0-0 @ 3.5% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 2.03% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 22.17%
1-2 @ 9.23% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-1 @ 6.7% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 6.42% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 5.89% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 4.24% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 4.1% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 2.82% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-4 @ 2.03% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1.96% (-0.004 -0)
1-5 @ 1.08% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
3-4 @ 0.97% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 48.85%

How you voted: Atalanta vs AC Milan

Atalanta BC
14.3%
Draw
16.8%
AC Milan
68.9%
161
Head to Head
May 15, 2022 5pm
AC Milan
2-0
Atalanta
Leao (56'), Hernandez (75')
Giroud (44'), Kessie (67'), Bennacer (90+2')

Koopmeiners (53'), Malinovskyi (87')
Oct 3, 2021 7.45pm
Atalanta
2-3
AC Milan
Zapata (86' pen.), Pasalic (90+4')
de Roon (40')
Calabria (1'), Tonali (43'), Leao (78')
Diaz (42'), Tomori (52'), Messias (85'), Leao (88'), Pioli (90+4')
May 23, 2021 7.45pm
Atalanta
0-2
AC Milan

Freuler (47'), de Roon (69'), Toloi (86')
de Roon (90+1')
Kessie (43' pen., 90+2')
Mandzukic (82'), Krunic (90+1'), Dalot (90+2')
Jan 23, 2021 5pm
AC Milan
0-3
Atalanta

Hernandez (38'), Kessie (51')
Romero (26'), Ilicic (53' pen.), Zapata (77')
Gosens (84')
Jul 24, 2020 8.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli21162335142150
2Inter Milan20145151183347
3Atalanta BCAtalanta21134446242243
4Lazio2112363728939
5Juventus21813034171737
6Fiorentina2096533211233
7Bologna208933226633
8AC Milan208752921831
9Roma217683127427
10Udinese217592432-826
11Torino215882126-523
12Genoa215881830-1223
13Como215792634-822
14CagliariCagliari2156102334-1121
15Empoli214892028-820
16Parma214892636-1020
17Lecce2155111536-2120
18Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2161142447-2319
19VeneziaVenezia2136121934-1515
20Monza2127122031-1113


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