Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 43%. A win for Juventus had a probability of 33.41% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.36%) and 2-0 (6.16%). The likeliest Juventus win was 1-2 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
AC Milan | Draw | Juventus |
43% | 23.6% | 33.41% |
Both teams to score 62.19% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.39% | 39.61% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.04% | 61.96% |
AC Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.23% | 18.77% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.83% | 50.17% |
Juventus Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.56% | 23.45% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.55% | 57.45% |
Score Analysis |
AC Milan | Draw | Juventus |
2-1 @ 8.93% 1-0 @ 7.36% 2-0 @ 6.16% 3-1 @ 4.98% 3-2 @ 3.61% 3-0 @ 3.43% 4-1 @ 2.08% 4-2 @ 1.51% 4-0 @ 1.44% Other @ 3.49% Total : 43% | 1-1 @ 10.67% 2-2 @ 6.48% 0-0 @ 4.4% 3-3 @ 1.75% Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.59% | 1-2 @ 7.74% 0-1 @ 6.38% 0-2 @ 4.63% 1-3 @ 3.74% 2-3 @ 3.13% 0-3 @ 2.24% 1-4 @ 1.36% 2-4 @ 1.14% Other @ 3.04% Total : 33.41% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 25 |
2 | Inter Milan | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 13 | 12 | 24 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 29 | 14 | 15 | 22 |
4 | Fiorentina | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 22 | 9 | 13 | 22 |
5 | Juventus | 11 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 21 |
6 | Lazio | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 19 |
7 | AC Milan | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 17 |
8 | Udinese | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 16 |
9 | Bologna | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 15 |
10 | Torino | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 14 |
11 | Roma | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 13 |
12 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 12 |
13 | Empoli | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 11 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 9 |
15 | Como | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 9 |
16 | Parma | 10 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 9 |
17 | Monza | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 8 |
18 | VeneziaVenezia | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 8 |
19 | Lecce | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 20 | -16 | 8 |
20 | Genoa | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 21 | -14 | 6 |
> Serie A Full Table |