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Serie A | Gameweek 7
Oct 5, 2024 at 5pm UK
Gewiss Stadium
Genoa logo

Atalanta
5 - 1
Genoa

Retegui (24', 50', 74' pen.), Ederson (60'), de Roon (80')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Ekhator (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Atalanta BC and Genoa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Shakhtar 0-3 Atalanta
Wednesday, October 2 at 5.45pm in Champions League
Last Game: Genoa 0-3 Juventus
Saturday, September 28 at 5pm in Serie A

We said: Atalanta BC 2-0 Genoa

After his team's inconsistent start to the season, Gian Piero Gasperini appealed for patience while a whole host of summer signings settled in. Atalanta now appear to be finding their identity again, which could prove problematic for Genoa, who are surely bound for a third straight Serie A defeat. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 57.86%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 19.12%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.62%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.94%), while for a Genoa win it was 0-1 (6.11%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.

Result
Atalanta BCDrawGenoa
57.86% (0.25 0.25) 23.01% (-0.115 -0.11) 19.12% (-0.137 -0.14)
Both teams to score 50.25% (0.122 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.03% (0.281 0.28)48.96% (-0.284 -0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.95% (0.254 0.25)71.05% (-0.25700000000001 -0.26)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.35% (0.18599999999999 0.19)16.65% (-0.187 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.5% (0.335 0.34)46.49% (-0.337 -0.34)
Genoa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.28% (0.011999999999993 0.01)39.71% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.61% (0.010000000000002 0.01)76.39% (-0.012 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Atalanta BC 57.85%
    Genoa 19.12%
    Draw 23.01%
Atalanta BCDrawGenoa
1-0 @ 11.85% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-0 @ 10.62% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.81% (0.013 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.35% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
3-1 @ 5.87% (0.045 0.04)
4-0 @ 2.85% (0.038 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.71% (0.022 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.63% (0.037 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.21% (0.017 0.02)
5-0 @ 1.02% (0.02 0.02)
5-1 @ 0.94% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 57.85%
1-1 @ 10.94% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-0 @ 6.61% (-0.077 -0.08)
2-2 @ 4.53% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 23.01%
0-1 @ 6.11% (-0.069 -0.07)
1-2 @ 5.06% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.82% (-0.031 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.56% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.4% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 19.12%

How you voted: Atalanta vs Genoa

Atalanta BC
81.7%
Draw
12.9%
Genoa
5.4%
93
Head to Head
Feb 11, 2024 5pm
Gameweek 24
Genoa
1-4
Atalanta
Malinovskyi (51')
Strootman (24'), Bani (54'), Caricol (90+3')
De Ketelaere (22'), Koopmeiners (55'), Zappacosta (90+10'), Bilal Toure (90+13')
De Ketelaere (24'), Kolasinac (32'), de Roon (90+2'), Miranchuk (90+7')
Oct 22, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 9
Atalanta
2-0
Genoa
Lookman (68'), Ederson (90+5')
Lookman (42'), Toloi (53'), Hateboer (85'), Zappacosta (90')

Gudmundsson (56'), Bani (90+7')
Mar 13, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 29
Atalanta
0-0
Genoa
Zappacosta (38'), Toloi (82')
Dec 21, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 19
Genoa
0-0
Atalanta
Sturaro (19'), Badelj (41')
Freuler (23')
May 15, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 37
Genoa
3-4
Atalanta
Shomurodov (48', 84'), Pandev (67' pen.)
Rovella (88')
Zapata (9'), Malinovskyi (26'), Gosens (44'), Pasalic (51')
Djimsiti (62'), Toloi (71')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli118121881025
2Inter Milan1173125131224
3Atalanta BCAtalanta1171329141522
4Fiorentina116412291322
5Lazio1171324141022
6Juventus115601971221
7AC Milan105231711617
8Udinese115151416-216
9Bologna103611211115
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino114251516-114
12Roma113441214-213
13Hellas VeronaHellas Verona114071624-812
14Como122461323-1010
15Genoa12246922-1310
16Lecce12237521-169
17CagliariCagliari11236919-109
18Parma111641417-39
19Monza111551014-48
20VeneziaVenezia112271019-98


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