Serie A | Gameweek 1
Aug 19, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
Lecce0 - 4Atalanta
FT(HT: 0-2)
We said: Lecce 1-1 Atalanta BC
Considering they were mainly occupied with staying afloat in Serie A, Lecce lost only seven times on home turf last season, and Atalanta will not be relishing a first-day trip to Via del Mare. La Dea's run-in to their opening league game has not been ideal either, while the hosts already have a morale-boosting cup win under their belts. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 44.26%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 29.41% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.95%) and 0-2 (8.03%). The likeliest Lecce win was 1-0 (8.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lecce | Draw | Atalanta BC |
29.41% ( 0.71) | 26.33% ( 0.11) | 44.26% ( -0.82) |
| Both teams to score 51.1% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
