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Serie A | Gameweek 17
Jan 9, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
Atalanta logo

Bologna
1 - 2
Atalanta

Orsolini (6')
Medel (66'), Lykogiannis (84'), Dominguez (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Koopmeiners (47'), Hojlund (58')
de Roon (26'), Pasalic (38')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Bologna and Atalanta BC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Roma 1-0 Bologna
Wednesday, January 4 at 3.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Spezia 2-2 Atalanta
Wednesday, January 4 at 1.30pm in Serie A

We said: Bologna 1-2 Atalanta BC

Despite their recent travails, Atalanta's away form is among the best in Serie A this season, and they now meet a Bologna side whose rhythm was disrupted by the long winter break. Perked up by their brave fightback in La Spezia, the visitors can eke out all three points and get back on the top-four trail. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 45.22%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 29.32% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.16%) and 0-2 (7.83%). The likeliest Bologna win was 1-0 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Atalanta BC in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Atalanta BC.

Result
BolognaDrawAtalanta BC
29.32% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06) 25.45% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02) 45.22% (0.076999999999998 0.08)
Both teams to score 53.8% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.27% (0.071999999999996 0.07)49.73% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.26% (0.064 0.06)71.74% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)
Bologna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.95% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)31.05%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.63% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)67.37%
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.03% (0.066000000000003 0.07)21.97% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.73% (0.099000000000004 0.1)55.27% (-0.101 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Bologna 29.32%
    Atalanta BC 45.21%
    Draw 25.45%
BolognaDrawAtalanta BC
1-0 @ 7.98% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
2-1 @ 7.07% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4.67% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.76% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
3-2 @ 2.09% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 1.82% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 29.32%
1-1 @ 12.09% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.82% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.36% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.06% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.45%
0-1 @ 10.33% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.16% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-2 @ 7.83% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.63% (0.014 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.96% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.71% (0.008 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.75% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.5% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.03% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 45.21%

How you voted: Bologna vs Atalanta

Bologna
24.1%
Draw
13.9%
Atalanta BC
62.0%
166
Head to Head
Mar 20, 2022 7.45pm
Aug 28, 2021 5.30pm
Atalanta
0-0
Bologna

Gosens (36'), Luis Palomino (79')

Medel (35'), Sansone (49'), Arnautovic (53'), Hickey (58'), Svanberg (64')
Apr 25, 2021 7.45pm
Atalanta
5-0
Bologna
Malinovskyi (22'), Muriel (44' pen.), Freuler (57'), Zapata (59'), Miranchuk (73')

Larangeira (44')
Schouten (49')
Dec 23, 2020 7.45pm
Bologna
2-2
Atalanta
Tomiyasu (73'), Paz (82')
Mihajlovic (77'), Palacio (84'), da Costa (86')
Muriel (22' pen., 23')
Gosens (18'), Djimsiti (60')
Jul 21, 2020 6.30pm
Atalanta
1-0
Bologna
Muriel (63')
G. (36'), Freuler (70'), Gosens (83'), Colley (90+3'), de Roon (90+4')
G. (36')

Tomiyasu (30'), Denswil (36'), Larangeira (76')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli108111851325
2Juventus115601971221
3Inter Milan1063124131121
4Atalanta BCAtalanta1061326141219
5Fiorentina105412191219
6Lazio106132213919
7Udinese115151416-216
8Bologna103611211115
9AC Milan94231611514
10Torino104241515014
11Roma103431011-113
12Empoli1025379-211
13Como102351221-99
14CagliariCagliari10235817-99
15Parma101631416-29
16Hellas VeronaHellas Verona103071322-99
17Monza101541013-38
18VeneziaVenezia102261018-88
19Lecce11227420-168
20Genoa10136721-146


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