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Serie A | Gameweek 11
Oct 23, 2022 at 5pm UK
Gewiss Stadium
Lazio logo

Atalanta
0 - 2
Lazio


Okoli (12'), Soppy (45+1'), Muriel (59')
Muriel (90')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Zaccagni (10'), Anderson (52')
Cataldi (70'), Milinkovic-Savic (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Atalanta BC and Lazio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Atalanta 2-1 Sassuolo
Saturday, October 15 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lazio 0-0 Udinese
Sunday, October 16 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Atalanta BC 1-1 Lazio

A third straight draw between these sides seems the likeliest outcome, as neither gives much away at the back and they are well-matched in other areas. A fascinating tactical battle between 'Gasp' and Sarri is set to ensue, and fine details could determine the result. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 49.77%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 26.43% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.39%) and 2-0 (8.07%). The likeliest Lazio win was 1-2 (6.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.

Result
Atalanta BCDrawLazio
49.77% (0.097000000000001 0.1) 23.8% (-0.032 -0.03) 26.43% (-0.067 -0.07)
Both teams to score 57.06% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.55% (0.090000000000003 0.09)44.44% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.18% (0.086999999999996 0.09)66.81% (-0.088000000000008 -0.09)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.05% (0.072000000000003 0.07)17.95% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.22% (0.125 0.13)48.77% (-0.127 -0.13)
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.54% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)30.46% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.33% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)66.67%
Score Analysis
    Atalanta BC 49.77%
    Lazio 26.43%
    Draw 23.8%
Atalanta BCDrawLazio
2-1 @ 9.59% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-0 @ 9.39% (-0.014999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.07% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.49% (0.016 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.62% (0.014 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.26% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.36% (0.013 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.98% (0.01 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.4% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.61%
Total : 49.77%
1-1 @ 11.16% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.7% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-0 @ 5.47% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.29% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 23.8%
1-2 @ 6.64% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-1 @ 6.5% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-2 @ 3.86% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.63% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 2.26% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.53% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 26.43%

How you voted: Atalanta vs Lazio

Atalanta BC
57.2%
Draw
26.8%
Lazio
15.9%
138
Head to Head
Jan 22, 2022 7.45pm
Oct 30, 2021 2pm
Atalanta
2-2
Lazio
Zapata (45+1'), De Roon (90+4')
Demiral (78')
Pedro (18'), Immobile (74')
Felipe (34'), Reina (90+1'), Leiva (90+3')
Jan 31, 2021 2pm
Atalanta
1-3
Lazio
Pasalic (79')
Marusic (3'), Correa (51'), Muriqi (82')
Patric (23'), Musacchio (57')
Jan 27, 2021 4.45pm
Atalanta
3-2
Lazio
Djimsiti (7'), Malinovskyi (37'), Miranchuk (57')
Romero (11'), Malinovskyi (16')
Luis Palomino (53')
Muriqi (17'), Acerbi (34')
Patric (22'), Fares (22'), Escalante (57')
Sep 30, 2020 7.45pm
Lazio
1-4
Atalanta
Caicedo (57')
Marusic (12'), Alberto (26'), Leiva (40'), Cataldi (70'), Acerbi (72'), Caicedo (75'), Immobile (90+4')
Gosens (10'), Hateboer (32'), Papu (41', 61')
Djimsiti (17'), Freuler (26')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli118121881025
2Inter Milan1173125131224
3Atalanta BCAtalanta1171329141522
4Fiorentina116412291322
5Juventus115601971221
6Lazio106132213919
7AC Milan105231711617
8Udinese115151416-216
9Bologna103611211115
10Torino114251516-114
11Roma113441214-213
12Hellas VeronaHellas Verona114071624-812
13Empoli1025379-211
14CagliariCagliari10235817-99
15Como102351221-99
16Parma101631416-29
17Monza111551014-48
18VeneziaVenezia112271019-98
19Lecce11227420-168
20Genoa10136721-146


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